Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a likely daily high of 90–94°F for Miami on August 1, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the region, and light steering winds that limit afternoon sea-breeze cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 92–95°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of typical early-August climatology (historical mean near 89°F) tempered by the current warm spell and modest thunderstorm chances that could cap extreme readings. Model consensus shows limited spread, with only small upside risk from suppressed convection or stronger downslope warming.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Miami em 1º de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Miami em 1º de agosto?
92-93°F 42%
94-95°F 30%
32-33°C 20%
96-97°F 5%
NOVO
NOVO
1 ago 2026
85°F ou menos
1%
30-31°C
2%
88-89°F
3%
32-33°C
20%
92-93°F
42%
94-95°F
30%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
1%
104°F ou mais
<1%
92-93°F 42%
94-95°F 30%
32-33°C 20%
96-97°F 5%
NOVO
NOVO
1 ago 2026
85°F ou menos
$264 Vol.
1%
30-31°C
$111 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$81 Vol.
3%
32-33°C
$435 Vol.
20%
92-93°F
$358 Vol.
42%
94-95°F
$529 Vol.
30%
96-97°F
$549 Vol.
5%
98-99°F
$52 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$71 Vol.
1%
102-103°F
$80 Vol.
1%
104°F ou mais
$353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a likely daily high of 90–94°F for Miami on August 1, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the region, and light steering winds that limit afternoon sea-breeze cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 92–95°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of typical early-August climatology (historical mean near 89°F) tempered by the current warm spell and modest thunderstorm chances that could cap extreme readings. Model consensus shows limited spread, with only small upside risk from suppressed convection or stronger downslope warming.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$2,883Data de Término
1 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a likely daily high of 90–94°F for Miami on August 1, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the region, and light steering winds that limit afternoon sea-breeze cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 92–95°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of typical early-August climatology (historical mean near 89°F) tempered by the current warm spell and modest thunderstorm chances that could cap extreme readings. Model consensus shows limited spread, with only small upside risk from suppressed convection or stronger downslope warming.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,883Data de Término
1 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a likely daily high of 90–94°F for Miami on August 1, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the region, and light steering winds that limit afternoon sea-breeze cooling. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 92–95°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of typical early-August climatology (historical mean near 89°F) tempered by the current warm spell and modest thunderstorm chances that could cap extreme readings. Model consensus shows limited spread, with only small upside risk from suppressed convection or stronger downslope warming.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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