Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a daytime high near 26–27°C in São Paulo on July 2, 2026, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities for those outcomes. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, a stable subtropical high-pressure system typically suppresses convection and limits cloud cover, allowing modest solar heating to push afternoon temperatures into this range amid average July climatology of 21–24°C. Small differences between 26°C and 27°C hinge on localized factors such as urban heat island effects, boundary-layer wind speeds, and minor variations in incoming shortwave radiation or low-level moisture. Ensemble model runs show limited spread for this short-range event, though any increase in afternoon cloudiness or stronger advection could cap the maximum below 27°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 2?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 2?
27°C 44%
26°C 24%
28°C 19%
29°C 6.6%
NOVO
NOVO
2 jul 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
24%
27°C
44%
28°C
19%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
3%
27°C 44%
26°C 24%
28°C 19%
29°C 6.6%
NOVO
NOVO
2 jul 2026
20°C or below
$546 Vol.
1%
21°C
$67 Vol.
1%
22°C
$63 Vol.
1%
23°C
$96 Vol.
1%
24°C
$120 Vol.
2%
25°C
$44 Vol.
6%
26°C
$290 Vol.
24%
27°C
$275 Vol.
44%
28°C
$131 Vol.
19%
29°C
$44 Vol.
7%
30°C or higher
$146 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a daytime high near 26–27°C in São Paulo on July 2, 2026, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities for those outcomes. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, a stable subtropical high-pressure system typically suppresses convection and limits cloud cover, allowing modest solar heating to push afternoon temperatures into this range amid average July climatology of 21–24°C. Small differences between 26°C and 27°C hinge on localized factors such as urban heat island effects, boundary-layer wind speeds, and minor variations in incoming shortwave radiation or low-level moisture. Ensemble model runs show limited spread for this short-range event, though any increase in afternoon cloudiness or stronger advection could cap the maximum below 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 30, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Volume
$1,823Data de Término
2 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 30, 2026, 9:01 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a daytime high near 26–27°C in São Paulo on July 2, 2026, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities for those outcomes. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, a stable subtropical high-pressure system typically suppresses convection and limits cloud cover, allowing modest solar heating to push afternoon temperatures into this range amid average July climatology of 21–24°C. Small differences between 26°C and 27°C hinge on localized factors such as urban heat island effects, boundary-layer wind speeds, and minor variations in incoming shortwave radiation or low-level moisture. Ensemble model runs show limited spread for this short-range event, though any increase in afternoon cloudiness or stronger advection could cap the maximum below 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,823Data de Término
2 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 30, 2026, 9:01 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a daytime high near 26–27°C in São Paulo on July 2, 2026, aligning with the closely matched market probabilities for those outcomes. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, a stable subtropical high-pressure system typically suppresses convection and limits cloud cover, allowing modest solar heating to push afternoon temperatures into this range amid average July climatology of 21–24°C. Small differences between 26°C and 27°C hinge on localized factors such as urban heat island effects, boundary-layer wind speeds, and minor variations in incoming shortwave radiation or low-level moisture. Ensemble model runs show limited spread for this short-range event, though any increase in afternoon cloudiness or stronger advection could cap the maximum below 27°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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