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icon for Temperatura mais alta em Seul (Incheon) em 1º de agosto?

Temperatura mais alta em Seul (Incheon) em 1º de agosto?

icon for Temperatura mais alta em Seul (Incheon) em 1º de agosto?

Temperatura mais alta em Seul (Incheon) em 1º de agosto?

31°C 25%

32°C 21%

30°C 14%

33°C 12%

Polymarket
NOVO

31°C 25%

32°C 21%

30°C 14%

33°C 12%

Polymarket
NOVO

25°C or below

$22 Vol.

1%

26°C

$22 Vol.

1%

27°C

$22 Vol.

1%

28°C

$0 Vol.

3%

29°C

$0 Vol.

9%

30°C

$0 Vol.

14%

31°C

$4 Vol.

25%

32°C

$0 Vol.

29%

33°C

$5 Vol.

12%

34°C

$0 Vol.

14%

35°C or higher

$6 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure system and heat dome pattern over the Korean Peninsula continue to shape forecasts for Seoul and Incheon on August 1. The Korea Meteorological Administration projects daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with elevated humidity supporting tropical night conditions and limiting overnight cooling. Key variables differentiating 31–34°C outcomes include afternoon convective cloud development, variable wind patterns, and the urban heat island effect, which can add 1–2°C in central Seoul relative to Incheon observations. Model consensus remains moderate due to timing uncertainties in any incoming trough or sea breeze influence, keeping implied probabilities clustered around 30–32°C while allowing for upside risk above 35°C if subsidence strengthens.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$81
Data de Término
1 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure system and heat dome pattern over the Korean Peninsula continue to shape forecasts for Seoul and Incheon on August 1. The Korea Meteorological Administration projects daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with elevated humidity supporting tropical night conditions and limiting overnight cooling. Key variables differentiating 31–34°C outcomes include afternoon convective cloud development, variable wind patterns, and the urban heat island effect, which can add 1–2°C in central Seoul relative to Incheon observations. Model consensus remains moderate due to timing uncertainties in any incoming trough or sea breeze influence, keeping implied probabilities clustered around 30–32°C while allowing for upside risk above 35°C if subsidence strengthens.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$81
Data de Término
1 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais alta em Seul (Incheon) em 1º de agosto?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "32°C" at 28%, followed by "31°C" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Temperatura mais alta em Seul (Incheon) em 1º de agosto?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Temperatura mais alta em Seul (Incheon) em 1º de agosto?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais alta em Seul (Incheon) em 1º de agosto?" is "32°C" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "31°C" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais alta em Seul (Incheon) em 1º de agosto?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.