**Trader consensus for Tel Aviv’s July 11 daily maximum centers on the 30–32°C range because Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ECMWF ensembles place the central tendency near the July climatological average of 29–32°C under moderate westerly flow and typical sea-breeze circulation.** Afternoon onshore winds from the Mediterranean typically cap peaks by advecting cooler marine air, while the absence of strong easterly Sharav flow or upper-level ridging keeps temperatures from exceeding 33°C in current model runs. Recent short-range forecasts show partly cloudy skies and highs of 86–88°F (30–31°C), aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 31°C. Resolution hinges on the exact recorded maximum at the official Tel Aviv station; any late-model shift toward stronger subsidence or reduced sea breeze could nudge probabilities toward 32–33°C before Sunday’s close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 11 de julho?
31°C 47%
32°C 33%
30°C 11%
33°C 5%
$12,774 Vol.
$12,774 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
11%
31°C
47%
32°C
33%
33°C
5%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 47%
32°C 33%
30°C 11%
33°C 5%
$12,774 Vol.
$12,774 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
11%
31°C
47%
32°C
33%
33°C
5%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus for Tel Aviv’s July 11 daily maximum centers on the 30–32°C range because Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ECMWF ensembles place the central tendency near the July climatological average of 29–32°C under moderate westerly flow and typical sea-breeze circulation.** Afternoon onshore winds from the Mediterranean typically cap peaks by advecting cooler marine air, while the absence of strong easterly Sharav flow or upper-level ridging keeps temperatures from exceeding 33°C in current model runs. Recent short-range forecasts show partly cloudy skies and highs of 86–88°F (30–31°C), aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 31°C. Resolution hinges on the exact recorded maximum at the official Tel Aviv station; any late-model shift toward stronger subsidence or reduced sea breeze could nudge probabilities toward 32–33°C before Sunday’s close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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