Skip to main content
icon for Aberturas de emprego da JOLTS — julho de 2026
Economia·Empregos

Aberturas de emprego da JOLTS — julho de 2026

icon for Aberturas de emprego da JOLTS — julho de 2026
Economia·Empregos

Aberturas de emprego da JOLTS — julho de 2026

set 1

set 1

7,5M-7,6M 31%

7,4M-7,5M 27%

7,3M-7,4M 17%

7,2M-7,3M 17%

Polymarket
NOVO

7,5M-7,6M 31%

7,4M-7,5M 27%

7,3M-7,4M 17%

7,2M-7,3M 17%

Polymarket
NOVO

<7,1M

$172 Vol.

10%

7,1M-7,2M

$144 Vol.

5%

7,2M-7,3M

$1,228 Vol.

17%

7,3M-7,4M

$2,114 Vol.

17%

7,4M-7,5M

$225 Vol.

24%

7,5M-7,6M

$331 Vol.

31%

7,6M-7,7M

$273 Vol.

7%

7,7M+

$1,508 Vol.

1%

This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in July 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS). This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent ADP data showing private-sector hiring slowed sharply to just 44,000 in July—well below the 70,000 consensus—has anchored trader expectations for July JOLTS job openings near 7.4–7.6 million. This follows June openings at 7.4 million, down from 7.6 million in May, amid broader labor-market cooling evident in moderating quits and stable layoff rates. With the report due September 1, market-implied odds cluster tightly around these levels because incoming payrolls, wage-growth trends, and Fed communications offer limited clarity on whether demand will stabilize or edge lower. The distribution reflects uncertainty over how much the recent employment miss will translate into vacancies, keeping resolution sensitive to any revisions or August indicators.

This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in July 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).

This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$5,995
Data de Término
1 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 6:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in July 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS). This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in July 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS). This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent ADP data showing private-sector hiring slowed sharply to just 44,000 in July—well below the 70,000 consensus—has anchored trader expectations for July JOLTS job openings near 7.4–7.6 million. This follows June openings at 7.4 million, down from 7.6 million in May, amid broader labor-market cooling evident in moderating quits and stable layoff rates. With the report due September 1, market-implied odds cluster tightly around these levels because incoming payrolls, wage-growth trends, and Fed communications offer limited clarity on whether demand will stabilize or edge lower. The distribution reflects uncertainty over how much the recent employment miss will translate into vacancies, keeping resolution sensitive to any revisions or August indicators.

This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in July 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).

This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$5,995
Data de Término
1 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 6:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in July 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS). This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

Relacionado

icon for Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July?

Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July?

49%
icon for O IPP YoY será de 5,1% ou menos em julho?

O IPP YoY será de 5,1% ou menos em julho?

70%
Sim
icon for Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?

Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?

35%

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Aberturas de emprego da JOLTS — julho de 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "7,5M-7,6M" at 31%, followed by "7,4M-7,5M" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Aberturas de emprego da JOLTS — julho de 2026" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Aberturas de emprego da JOLTS — julho de 2026," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Aberturas de emprego da JOLTS — julho de 2026" is "7,5M-7,6M" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "7,4M-7,5M" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Aberturas de emprego da JOLTS — julho de 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.