Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather place NYC overnight lows for late June 2026 in the upper 60s to low 70s, consistent with seasonal averages around 70–72°F and a prevailing warm air mass without incoming cooler air. This drives the market's emphasis on 68–69°F (highest implied probability at 41%), followed closely by 66–67°F and 70–71°F bins, reflecting modest uncertainty from variables like cloud cover, humidity, and urban heat retention that moderate radiative cooling overnight. Recent model consensus shows no significant cold fronts or clear-sky extremes expected by June 29, aligning trader sentiment with typical late-June climatology while leaving room for minor forecast adjustments before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 29 de junho?
Temperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 29 de junho?
68-69°F 36%
66-67°F 35%
21-22°C 13%
64-65°F 8%
NOVO
NOVO
29 jun 2026
57°F ou menos
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
8%
66-67°F
35%
68-69°F
36%
21-22°C
13%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
3%
76°F ou mais
1%
68-69°F 36%
66-67°F 35%
21-22°C 13%
64-65°F 8%
NOVO
NOVO
29 jun 2026
57°F ou menos
$80 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$233 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$371 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$130 Vol.
2%
64-65°F
$59 Vol.
8%
66-67°F
$662 Vol.
35%
68-69°F
$716 Vol.
36%
21-22°C
$55 Vol.
13%
72-73°F
$35 Vol.
6%
74-75°F
$70 Vol.
3%
76°F ou mais
$444 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather place NYC overnight lows for late June 2026 in the upper 60s to low 70s, consistent with seasonal averages around 70–72°F and a prevailing warm air mass without incoming cooler air. This drives the market's emphasis on 68–69°F (highest implied probability at 41%), followed closely by 66–67°F and 70–71°F bins, reflecting modest uncertainty from variables like cloud cover, humidity, and urban heat retention that moderate radiative cooling overnight. Recent model consensus shows no significant cold fronts or clear-sky extremes expected by June 29, aligning trader sentiment with typical late-June climatology while leaving room for minor forecast adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$2,855Data de Término
29 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather place NYC overnight lows for late June 2026 in the upper 60s to low 70s, consistent with seasonal averages around 70–72°F and a prevailing warm air mass without incoming cooler air. This drives the market's emphasis on 68–69°F (highest implied probability at 41%), followed closely by 66–67°F and 70–71°F bins, reflecting modest uncertainty from variables like cloud cover, humidity, and urban heat retention that moderate radiative cooling overnight. Recent model consensus shows no significant cold fronts or clear-sky extremes expected by June 29, aligning trader sentiment with typical late-June climatology while leaving room for minor forecast adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,855Data de Término
29 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather place NYC overnight lows for late June 2026 in the upper 60s to low 70s, consistent with seasonal averages around 70–72°F and a prevailing warm air mass without incoming cooler air. This drives the market's emphasis on 68–69°F (highest implied probability at 41%), followed closely by 66–67°F and 70–71°F bins, reflecting modest uncertainty from variables like cloud cover, humidity, and urban heat retention that moderate radiative cooling overnight. Recent model consensus shows no significant cold fronts or clear-sky extremes expected by June 29, aligning trader sentiment with typical late-June climatology while leaving room for minor forecast adjustments before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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