A persistent European heat dome and advection of warm subtropical air have driven recent highs near or above 35°C across northern Italy, including red alerts for Milan through the weekend, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 32–34°C for June 30. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows consensus near 34–35°C under mostly clear skies and light winds favoring strong daytime heating, yet slight model spread arises from potential weak trough influences or localized convection that could cap peaks near 32–33°C. Recent surface observations confirm elevated baselines from the ongoing heatwave, while any early-week moisture increase or cloud cover remains the key variable that could shift resolution toward lower outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 30 de junho?
Temperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 30 de junho?
33°C 29%
34°C 28%
32°C 27%
35°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
30 jun 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
27%
33°C
29%
34°C
28%
35°C
13%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C ou mais
<1%
33°C 29%
34°C 28%
32°C 27%
35°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
30 jun 2026
28°C or below
$351 Vol.
1%
29°C
$45 Vol.
1%
30°C
$5 Vol.
3%
31°C
$36 Vol.
6%
32°C
$94 Vol.
27%
33°C
$29 Vol.
29%
34°C
$12 Vol.
28%
35°C
$474 Vol.
13%
36°C
$29 Vol.
4%
37°C
$33 Vol.
1%
38°C ou mais
$455 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A persistent European heat dome and advection of warm subtropical air have driven recent highs near or above 35°C across northern Italy, including red alerts for Milan through the weekend, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 32–34°C for June 30. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows consensus near 34–35°C under mostly clear skies and light winds favoring strong daytime heating, yet slight model spread arises from potential weak trough influences or localized convection that could cap peaks near 32–33°C. Recent surface observations confirm elevated baselines from the ongoing heatwave, while any early-week moisture increase or cloud cover remains the key variable that could shift resolution toward lower outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 28, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,555Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 28, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A persistent European heat dome and advection of warm subtropical air have driven recent highs near or above 35°C across northern Italy, including red alerts for Milan through the weekend, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 32–34°C for June 30. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows consensus near 34–35°C under mostly clear skies and light winds favoring strong daytime heating, yet slight model spread arises from potential weak trough influences or localized convection that could cap peaks near 32–33°C. Recent surface observations confirm elevated baselines from the ongoing heatwave, while any early-week moisture increase or cloud cover remains the key variable that could shift resolution toward lower outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,555Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 28, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...A persistent European heat dome and advection of warm subtropical air have driven recent highs near or above 35°C across northern Italy, including red alerts for Milan through the weekend, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 32–34°C for June 30. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows consensus near 34–35°C under mostly clear skies and light winds favoring strong daytime heating, yet slight model spread arises from potential weak trough influences or localized convection that could cap peaks near 32–33°C. Recent surface observations confirm elevated baselines from the ongoing heatwave, while any early-week moisture increase or cloud cover remains the key variable that could shift resolution toward lower outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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