Latest AEMET and supporting model guidance position Madrid’s June 28 maximum near 35–36 °C, with the Retiro station as the official reference. A stable high-pressure pattern and modest southerly flow are expected to deliver typical late-June warmth without a strong Saharan plume or upper-level ridge that would push readings into the upper 30s. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on 35 °C (36.5 %) and 36 °C (23.0 %), while lower-probability outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and local heat-island effects. Updated runs from AEMET and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any repricing ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Madrid a 28 de junho?
Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 28 de junho?
34°C 39%
35°C 34%
36°C 15%
33°C 12.4%
NOVO
$17,183 Vol.
NOVO
$17,183 Vol.
28 jun 2026
32°C or below
3%
33°C
12%
34°C
39%
35°C
34%
36°C
15%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
34°C 39%
35°C 34%
36°C 15%
33°C 12.4%
NOVO
$17,183 Vol.
NOVO
$17,183 Vol.
28 jun 2026
32°C or below
$648 Vol.
3%
33°C
$935 Vol.
12%
34°C
$1,372 Vol.
39%
35°C
$2,209 Vol.
34%
36°C
$7,899 Vol.
15%
37°C
$1,195 Vol.
1%
38°C
$1,360 Vol.
1%
39°C
$473 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$516 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$316 Vol.
<1%
42°C or higher
$259 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest AEMET and supporting model guidance position Madrid’s June 28 maximum near 35–36 °C, with the Retiro station as the official reference. A stable high-pressure pattern and modest southerly flow are expected to deliver typical late-June warmth without a strong Saharan plume or upper-level ridge that would push readings into the upper 30s. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on 35 °C (36.5 %) and 36 °C (23.0 %), while lower-probability outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and local heat-island effects. Updated runs from AEMET and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any repricing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$17,183Data de Término
28 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest AEMET and supporting model guidance position Madrid’s June 28 maximum near 35–36 °C, with the Retiro station as the official reference. A stable high-pressure pattern and modest southerly flow are expected to deliver typical late-June warmth without a strong Saharan plume or upper-level ridge that would push readings into the upper 30s. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on 35 °C (36.5 %) and 36 °C (23.0 %), while lower-probability outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and local heat-island effects. Updated runs from AEMET and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any repricing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,183Data de Término
28 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest AEMET and supporting model guidance position Madrid’s June 28 maximum near 35–36 °C, with the Retiro station as the official reference. A stable high-pressure pattern and modest southerly flow are expected to deliver typical late-June warmth without a strong Saharan plume or upper-level ridge that would push readings into the upper 30s. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on 35 °C (36.5 %) and 36 °C (23.0 %), while lower-probability outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and local heat-island effects. Updated runs from AEMET and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any repricing ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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