Ongoing heatwave conditions across northern India, with recent Lucknow maxima near 41°C and IMD forecasts pointing to 40–42°C amid above-normal temperatures, drive the market's clustering around 39–41°C. Key variables include the timing of monsoon advance, which could introduce cloud cover and reduce peaks, versus persistent clear skies and dry westerlies sustaining highs; local factors like humidity, wind speed, and urban heat island effects add variability. Short-term model runs from IMD and global ensembles show divergence on exact intensification, while historical June baselines around 37°C highlight the current anomaly. Traders weigh these against potential rapid shifts from updated 48-hour forecasts ahead of June 28 resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 28 de junho?
39°C 30%
40°C 29%
38°C 19.8%
41°C 18%
$13,327 Vol.
$13,327 Vol.
35°C ou menos
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
5%
38°C
20%
39°C
30%
40°C
29%
41°C
18%
42°C
4%
43°C
1%
44°C
1%
45°C ou mais
1%
39°C 30%
40°C 29%
38°C 19.8%
41°C 18%
$13,327 Vol.
$13,327 Vol.
35°C ou menos
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
5%
38°C
20%
39°C
30%
40°C
29%
41°C
18%
42°C
4%
43°C
1%
44°C
1%
45°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 26, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions across northern India, with recent Lucknow maxima near 41°C and IMD forecasts pointing to 40–42°C amid above-normal temperatures, drive the market's clustering around 39–41°C. Key variables include the timing of monsoon advance, which could introduce cloud cover and reduce peaks, versus persistent clear skies and dry westerlies sustaining highs; local factors like humidity, wind speed, and urban heat island effects add variability. Short-term model runs from IMD and global ensembles show divergence on exact intensification, while historical June baselines around 37°C highlight the current anomaly. Traders weigh these against potential rapid shifts from updated 48-hour forecasts ahead of June 28 resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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