Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models project maximum temperatures of 28–33 °C for June 26, with 31–32 °C as the most probable range under prevailing southwest monsoon flow. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high relative humidity (65–95 %) are expected to limit surface heating and compress the diurnal temperature range, keeping peaks near or slightly above seasonal normals. Above-normal June–August temperatures noted in the HKO seasonal outlook provide a mild upward bias, yet model consensus on overcast conditions and precipitation timing introduces uncertainty that narrows the distribution between 31 °C and 32 °C. Traders weigh the latest 48-hour guidance updates against historical June maxima near 31–32 °C when assessing resolution risk.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 26?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 26?
31°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$241,300 Vol.
$241,300 Vol.
26 jun 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$241,300 Vol.
$241,300 Vol.
26 jun 2026
27°C or below
$2,732 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$6,326 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$28,295 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$35,513 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$56,738 Vol.
100%
32°C
$41,218 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$51,151 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$12,212 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$3,878 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,913 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,323 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models project maximum temperatures of 28–33 °C for June 26, with 31–32 °C as the most probable range under prevailing southwest monsoon flow. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high relative humidity (65–95 %) are expected to limit surface heating and compress the diurnal temperature range, keeping peaks near or slightly above seasonal normals. Above-normal June–August temperatures noted in the HKO seasonal outlook provide a mild upward bias, yet model consensus on overcast conditions and precipitation timing introduces uncertainty that narrows the distribution between 31 °C and 32 °C. Traders weigh the latest 48-hour guidance updates against historical June maxima near 31–32 °C when assessing resolution risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$241,300Data de Término
26 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models project maximum temperatures of 28–33 °C for June 26, with 31–32 °C as the most probable range under prevailing southwest monsoon flow. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high relative humidity (65–95 %) are expected to limit surface heating and compress the diurnal temperature range, keeping peaks near or slightly above seasonal normals. Above-normal June–August temperatures noted in the HKO seasonal outlook provide a mild upward bias, yet model consensus on overcast conditions and precipitation timing introduces uncertainty that narrows the distribution between 31 °C and 32 °C. Traders weigh the latest 48-hour guidance updates against historical June maxima near 31–32 °C when assessing resolution risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$241,300Data de Término
26 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models project maximum temperatures of 28–33 °C for June 26, with 31–32 °C as the most probable range under prevailing southwest monsoon flow. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high relative humidity (65–95 %) are expected to limit surface heating and compress the diurnal temperature range, keeping peaks near or slightly above seasonal normals. Above-normal June–August temperatures noted in the HKO seasonal outlook provide a mild upward bias, yet model consensus on overcast conditions and precipitation timing introduces uncertainty that narrows the distribution between 31 °C and 32 °C. Traders weigh the latest 48-hour guidance updates against historical June maxima near 31–32 °C when assessing resolution risk.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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