Recent European heatwave conditions, with France recording its hottest June day on record earlier this week and Météo-France issuing red alerts across much of the country, set the stage for Paris temperatures. Ensemble forecasts now show the primary cooling signal arriving Friday, June 26, as a weak front begins to moderate the heat dome, producing afternoon maxima most likely in the 35–38 °C range. Model spread remains modest but centers on whether the peak occurs before or after the frontal passage, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 36–38 °C. Updated runs from Météo-France and ECMWF expected in the next 24 hours will refine the exact timing and any urban heat-island amplification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris em 26 de junho?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris em 26 de junho?
37°C 100.0%
34°C ou menos <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$252,668 Vol.
$252,668 Vol.
26 jun 2026
34°C ou menos
Não
35°C
Não
36°C
Não
37°C
Sim
38°C
Não
39°C
Não
40°C
Não
41°C
Não
42°C
Não
43°C
Não
44°C ou mais
Não
37°C 100.0%
34°C ou menos <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$252,668 Vol.
$252,668 Vol.
26 jun 2026
34°C ou menos
$20,637 Vol.
Não
35°C
$13,551 Vol.
Não
36°C
$63,741 Vol.
Não
37°C
$28,413 Vol.
Sim
38°C
$44,080 Vol.
Não
39°C
$27,127 Vol.
Não
40°C
$17,230 Vol.
Não
41°C
$19,885 Vol.
Não
42°C
$6,256 Vol.
Não
43°C
$2,613 Vol.
Não
44°C ou mais
$9,134 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European heatwave conditions, with France recording its hottest June day on record earlier this week and Météo-France issuing red alerts across much of the country, set the stage for Paris temperatures. Ensemble forecasts now show the primary cooling signal arriving Friday, June 26, as a weak front begins to moderate the heat dome, producing afternoon maxima most likely in the 35–38 °C range. Model spread remains modest but centers on whether the peak occurs before or after the frontal passage, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 36–38 °C. Updated runs from Météo-France and ECMWF expected in the next 24 hours will refine the exact timing and any urban heat-island amplification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$252,668Data de Término
26 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European heatwave conditions, with France recording its hottest June day on record earlier this week and Météo-France issuing red alerts across much of the country, set the stage for Paris temperatures. Ensemble forecasts now show the primary cooling signal arriving Friday, June 26, as a weak front begins to moderate the heat dome, producing afternoon maxima most likely in the 35–38 °C range. Model spread remains modest but centers on whether the peak occurs before or after the frontal passage, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 36–38 °C. Updated runs from Météo-France and ECMWF expected in the next 24 hours will refine the exact timing and any urban heat-island amplification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$252,668Data de Término
26 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent European heatwave conditions, with France recording its hottest June day on record earlier this week and Météo-France issuing red alerts across much of the country, set the stage for Paris temperatures. Ensemble forecasts now show the primary cooling signal arriving Friday, June 26, as a weak front begins to moderate the heat dome, producing afternoon maxima most likely in the 35–38 °C range. Model spread remains modest but centers on whether the peak occurs before or after the frontal passage, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 36–38 °C. Updated runs from Météo-France and ECMWF expected in the next 24 hours will refine the exact timing and any urban heat-island amplification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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