Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 27 near 18–19 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover and a southerly flow that limits radiational cooling overnight. With 50–74% chance of showers and light winds, cloud insulation prevents sharp temperature drops, while dew points near 17–18 °C support mild minima. Model consensus shows limited variability from current setups, though small differences in timing of any clearing or wind shifts explain the tight clustering between 18 °C and 19 °C outcomes. Historical August averages around 14 °C highlight the anomalously mild conditions expected, with traders weighting the latest ensemble runs ahead of final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 27 de agosto?
19°C 40%
18°C 31%
20°C 17%
15°C 7%
14°C ou menos
4%
15°C
7%
16°C
5%
17°C
5%
18°C
31%
19°C
40%
20°C
17%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
3%
24°C ou mais
5%
19°C 40%
18°C 31%
20°C 17%
15°C 7%
14°C ou menos
4%
15°C
7%
16°C
5%
17°C
5%
18°C
31%
19°C
40%
20°C
17%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
3%
24°C ou mais
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 27 near 18–19 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover and a southerly flow that limits radiational cooling overnight. With 50–74% chance of showers and light winds, cloud insulation prevents sharp temperature drops, while dew points near 17–18 °C support mild minima. Model consensus shows limited variability from current setups, though small differences in timing of any clearing or wind shifts explain the tight clustering between 18 °C and 19 °C outcomes. Historical August averages around 14 °C highlight the anomalously mild conditions expected, with traders weighting the latest ensemble runs ahead of final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions