Recent Météo-France and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS point to a warm but moderated air mass over Paris on August 26, with model guidance centering daily maxima near 27–29 °C under increasing cloud cover and scattered thundershowers. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while an easterly flow sustains above-average temperatures following earlier heat-wave patterns. Leading market probabilities for 28–30 °C reflect this narrow range, where small differences in timing of cloud build-up or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects in central Paris add further variability to official station readings used for resolution. Updated model runs and afternoon observations on August 25 will be the key catalysts for any late shifts in trader sentiment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris em 26 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris em 26 de agosto?
29°C 37%
28°C 28%
30°C 21%
27°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
26 ago 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
28%
29°C
37%
30°C
21%
31°C
4%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 37%
28°C 28%
30°C 21%
27°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
26 ago 2026
23°C or below
$55 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$49 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$21 Vol.
2%
26°C
$340 Vol.
4%
27°C
$1,518 Vol.
7%
28°C
$688 Vol.
28%
29°C
$883 Vol.
37%
30°C
$451 Vol.
21%
31°C
$11 Vol.
4%
32°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS point to a warm but moderated air mass over Paris on August 26, with model guidance centering daily maxima near 27–29 °C under increasing cloud cover and scattered thundershowers. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while an easterly flow sustains above-average temperatures following earlier heat-wave patterns. Leading market probabilities for 28–30 °C reflect this narrow range, where small differences in timing of cloud build-up or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects in central Paris add further variability to official station readings used for resolution. Updated model runs and afternoon observations on August 25 will be the key catalysts for any late shifts in trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,016Data de Término
26 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS point to a warm but moderated air mass over Paris on August 26, with model guidance centering daily maxima near 27–29 °C under increasing cloud cover and scattered thundershowers. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while an easterly flow sustains above-average temperatures following earlier heat-wave patterns. Leading market probabilities for 28–30 °C reflect this narrow range, where small differences in timing of cloud build-up or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects in central Paris add further variability to official station readings used for resolution. Updated model runs and afternoon observations on August 25 will be the key catalysts for any late shifts in trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,016Data de Término
26 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS point to a warm but moderated air mass over Paris on August 26, with model guidance centering daily maxima near 27–29 °C under increasing cloud cover and scattered thundershowers. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while an easterly flow sustains above-average temperatures following earlier heat-wave patterns. Leading market probabilities for 28–30 °C reflect this narrow range, where small differences in timing of cloud build-up or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects in central Paris add further variability to official station readings used for resolution. Updated model runs and afternoon observations on August 25 will be the key catalysts for any late shifts in trader sentiment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions