**Persistent low-pressure trough activity and associated showers are the dominant drivers capping maximum temperatures in Hong Kong on August 25.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a high near 30°C under mostly cloudy skies with showers and squally thunderstorms that may intensify during the day, supported by south to southwest winds of force 4–6 and relative humidity of 75–95%. These conditions limit solar heating through extensive cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rainfall, consistent with multiple model runs showing daily maxima clustered between 29–31°C. Trader sentiment splits between 30–32°C outcomes because thunderstorm timing and intensity remain uncertain—earlier or heavier convection could suppress readings toward 29°C, while any temporary breaks in cloud cover might allow brief spikes near 32°C. Historical August climatology supports this range under similar trough influences, with resolution hinging on the next 48-hour forecast updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 25 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 25 de agosto?
31°C 32%
30°C 26%
32°C 23%
29°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
25 ago 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
13%
30°C
26%
31°C
32%
32°C
23%
33°C
6%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
2%
31°C 32%
30°C 26%
32°C 23%
29°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
25 ago 2026
25°C or below
$10 Vol.
1%
26°C
$167 Vol.
1%
27°C
$45 Vol.
2%
28°C
$2,143 Vol.
6%
29°C
$66 Vol.
13%
30°C
$65 Vol.
26%
31°C
$78 Vol.
32%
32°C
$382 Vol.
23%
33°C
$529 Vol.
6%
34°C
$306 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$145 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Persistent low-pressure trough activity and associated showers are the dominant drivers capping maximum temperatures in Hong Kong on August 25.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a high near 30°C under mostly cloudy skies with showers and squally thunderstorms that may intensify during the day, supported by south to southwest winds of force 4–6 and relative humidity of 75–95%. These conditions limit solar heating through extensive cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rainfall, consistent with multiple model runs showing daily maxima clustered between 29–31°C. Trader sentiment splits between 30–32°C outcomes because thunderstorm timing and intensity remain uncertain—earlier or heavier convection could suppress readings toward 29°C, while any temporary breaks in cloud cover might allow brief spikes near 32°C. Historical August climatology supports this range under similar trough influences, with resolution hinging on the next 48-hour forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,936Data de Término
25 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Persistent low-pressure trough activity and associated showers are the dominant drivers capping maximum temperatures in Hong Kong on August 25.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a high near 30°C under mostly cloudy skies with showers and squally thunderstorms that may intensify during the day, supported by south to southwest winds of force 4–6 and relative humidity of 75–95%. These conditions limit solar heating through extensive cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rainfall, consistent with multiple model runs showing daily maxima clustered between 29–31°C. Trader sentiment splits between 30–32°C outcomes because thunderstorm timing and intensity remain uncertain—earlier or heavier convection could suppress readings toward 29°C, while any temporary breaks in cloud cover might allow brief spikes near 32°C. Historical August climatology supports this range under similar trough influences, with resolution hinging on the next 48-hour forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,936Data de Término
25 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent low-pressure trough activity and associated showers are the dominant drivers capping maximum temperatures in Hong Kong on August 25.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a high near 30°C under mostly cloudy skies with showers and squally thunderstorms that may intensify during the day, supported by south to southwest winds of force 4–6 and relative humidity of 75–95%. These conditions limit solar heating through extensive cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rainfall, consistent with multiple model runs showing daily maxima clustered between 29–31°C. Trader sentiment splits between 30–32°C outcomes because thunderstorm timing and intensity remain uncertain—earlier or heavier convection could suppress readings toward 29°C, while any temporary breaks in cloud cover might allow brief spikes near 32°C. Historical August climatology supports this range under similar trough influences, with resolution hinging on the next 48-hour forecast updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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