**Trader consensus heavily favors a minimum temperature of 25°C or higher (99% implied probability) for Zhengzhou on August 22, 2026, reflecting robust summer climatology and current forecast guidance.** Zhengzhou lies in a humid subtropical climate zone where August overnight lows typically average near 25°C, driven by high daytime heat (often 32–33°C), elevated dew points, and limited radiative cooling under humid, cloudy, or monsoonal conditions. Official and model guidance for the date consistently projects a low around 25–26°C, consistent with historical patterns and recent observations showing nighttime readings holding in the mid-20s. The dominant positioning rests on this strong alignment between seasonal baselines, short-range model consensus, and ongoing atmospheric conditions that suppress sharp temperature drops. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected strong cold front, unusually clear and dry air mass allowing greater nocturnal cooling, or a significant downward revision in official forecasts—none of which current data or model runs support.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Zhengzhou em 22 de agosto?
25°C ou mais 99%
22°C 13%
23°C 6%
21°C 1.0%
$2,538 Vol.
$2,538 Vol.
15°C ou menos
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
13%
23°C
6%
24°C
1%
25°C ou mais
99%
25°C ou mais 99%
22°C 13%
23°C 6%
21°C 1.0%
$2,538 Vol.
$2,538 Vol.
15°C ou menos
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
13%
23°C
6%
24°C
1%
25°C ou mais
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a minimum temperature of 25°C or higher (99% implied probability) for Zhengzhou on August 22, 2026, reflecting robust summer climatology and current forecast guidance.** Zhengzhou lies in a humid subtropical climate zone where August overnight lows typically average near 25°C, driven by high daytime heat (often 32–33°C), elevated dew points, and limited radiative cooling under humid, cloudy, or monsoonal conditions. Official and model guidance for the date consistently projects a low around 25–26°C, consistent with historical patterns and recent observations showing nighttime readings holding in the mid-20s. The dominant positioning rests on this strong alignment between seasonal baselines, short-range model consensus, and ongoing atmospheric conditions that suppress sharp temperature drops. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected strong cold front, unusually clear and dry air mass allowing greater nocturnal cooling, or a significant downward revision in official forecasts—none of which current data or model runs support.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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