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icon for MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Vencedor
Desporto·Hank Aaron

MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Vencedor

icon for MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Vencedor
Desporto·Hank Aaron

MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Vencedor

Shohei Ohtani 18%

Juan Soto 5.7%

Kyle Schwarber 5.4%

Bryce Harper 4.2%

Polymarket

$119,159 Vol.

Shohei Ohtani 18%

Juan Soto 5.7%

Kyle Schwarber 5.4%

Bryce Harper 4.2%

Polymarket

$119,159 Vol.

Shohei Ohtani

$6,037 Vol.

18%

Juan Soto

$30,529 Vol.

6%

Kyle Schwarber

$80,763 Vol.

5%

Bryce Harper

$191 Vol.

4%

Ronald Acuña Jr.

$634 Vol.

3%

Francisco Lindor

$316 Vol.

3%

Fernando Tatis Jr.

$165 Vol.

1%

Ketel Marte

$137 Vol.

1%

Pete Crow-Armstrong

$236 Vol.

1%

Mookie Betts

$152 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Shohei Ohtani holds the top position in the 2026 NL Hank Aaron race at 17.5% implied probability due to his established power and production profile with the Dodgers, even as early-season home run totals remain modest. Kyle Schwarber has surged to the NL lead with 17-plus homers for the Phillies, boosting his market share through consistent extra-base power and RBI output. Juan Soto and Bryce Harper trail on the strength of their disciplined approaches and prior award-caliber seasons with the Mets and Phillies, respectively, while Ronald Acuña Jr. draws support from speed-power combinations despite limited recent volume. The wide-open field reflects a crowded group of contenders where recent form, plate discipline, and barrel rates continue to shape trader consensus amid the early campaign.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$119,159
Data de Término
13 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Shohei Ohtani holds the top position in the 2026 NL Hank Aaron race at 17.5% implied probability due to his established power and production profile with the Dodgers, even as early-season home run totals remain modest. Kyle Schwarber has surged to the NL lead with 17-plus homers for the Phillies, boosting his market share through consistent extra-base power and RBI output. Juan Soto and Bryce Harper trail on the strength of their disciplined approaches and prior award-caliber seasons with the Mets and Phillies, respectively, while Ronald Acuña Jr. draws support from speed-power combinations despite limited recent volume. The wide-open field reflects a crowded group of contenders where recent form, plate discipline, and barrel rates continue to shape trader consensus amid the early campaign.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$119,159
Data de Término
13 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Vencedor" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Shohei Ohtani" at 18%, followed by "Juan Soto" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Vencedor" has generated $119.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Vencedor," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Vencedor" is "Shohei Ohtani" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Juan Soto" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Vencedor" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.