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icon for MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Vencedor
Desporto·Liga Americana

MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Vencedor

icon for MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Vencedor
Desporto·Liga Americana

MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Vencedor

Yordan Alvarez 82%

Julio Rodríguez 4.0%

Nick Kurtz 2.7%

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2.7%

Polymarket

$415,082 Vol.

Yordan Alvarez 82%

Julio Rodríguez 4.0%

Nick Kurtz 2.7%

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2.7%

Polymarket

$415,082 Vol.

Yordan Alvarez

$6,148 Vol.

82%

Julio Rodríguez

$123 Vol.

4%

Nick Kurtz

$1,203 Vol.

3%

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

$117 Vol.

3%

José Ramírez

$466 Vol.

2%

Aaron Judge

$4,676 Vol.

2%

Bobby Witt Jr.

$621 Vol.

2%

Cal Raleigh

$3,836 Vol.

1%

Gunnar Henderson

$389 Vol.

1%

Corey Seager

$397,505 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Yordan Alvarez's commanding statistical dominance this season has driven overwhelming trader consensus for the 2026 AL Hank Aaron Award, reflected in his 81.5% implied probability. Through roughly 120 games, the Astros DH leads the AL in batting average at .322 while posting elite marks in on-base percentage, slugging, and a 1.057 OPS, with 35 home runs and strong RBI totals that outpace most contenders. This production has established him as the clear frontrunner in a market where recent historical winners like Aaron Judge benefited from similar power-hitting campaigns. Lower odds on players such as Julio Rodríguez and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. underscore the gap in current metrics, though late-season surges or injury developments could still influence final voting by Hall of Famers and fans.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$415,082
Data de Término
13 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Yordan Alvarez's commanding statistical dominance this season has driven overwhelming trader consensus for the 2026 AL Hank Aaron Award, reflected in his 81.5% implied probability. Through roughly 120 games, the Astros DH leads the AL in batting average at .322 while posting elite marks in on-base percentage, slugging, and a 1.057 OPS, with 35 home runs and strong RBI totals that outpace most contenders. This production has established him as the clear frontrunner in a market where recent historical winners like Aaron Judge benefited from similar power-hitting campaigns. Lower odds on players such as Julio Rodríguez and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. underscore the gap in current metrics, though late-season surges or injury developments could still influence final voting by Hall of Famers and fans.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$415,082
Data de Término
13 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Vencedor" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Yordan Alvarez" at 82%, followed by "Julio Rodríguez" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 82¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Vencedor" has generated $415.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Vencedor," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Vencedor" is "Yordan Alvarez" at 82%, meaning the market assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Julio Rodríguez" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Vencedor" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.