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Sports·Awards

MLB: NL Manager of the Year

icon for MLB: NL Manager of the Year
Sports·Awards

MLB: NL Manager of the Year

Walt Weiss 24%

Pat Murphy 10.5%

Don Kelly 10%

Oliver Marmol 3.8%

Polymarket

$80,548 Vol.

Walt Weiss 24%

Pat Murphy 10.5%

Don Kelly 10%

Oliver Marmol 3.8%

Polymarket

$80,548 Vol.

Walt Weiss

$5,579 Vol.

22%

Pat Murphy

$787 Vol.

10%

Don Kelly

$391 Vol.

10%

Oliver Marmol

$108 Vol.

4%

Blake Butera

$1,279 Vol.

4%

Terry Francona

$3,002 Vol.

3%

Clayton McCullough

$249 Vol.

2%

Torey Lovullo

$75 Vol.

2%

Craig Stammen

$378 Vol.

2%

Warren Schaeffer

$3,318 Vol.

2%

Dave Roberts

$361 Vol.

1%

Tony Vitello

$214 Vol.

1%

Craig Counsell

$417 Vol.

1%

Carlos Mendoza

$10,396 Vol.

1%

Rob Thomson

$53,994 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Walt Weiss leads the NL Manager of the Year market at 39.5% implied probability due to the Atlanta Braves’ dominant first-half performance under the first-year skipper, who took over after Brian Snitker’s retirement. The club sits atop the NL East with a .648 win percentage and strong run differential, far exceeding 2025 expectations despite injuries. Traders credit Weiss’s aggressive bullpen tactics and clubhouse continuity for sustaining momentum. Don Kelly (11%) and Pat Murphy (10.2%) trail on the strength of solid Pirates and Brewers campaigns, respectively, while the rest of the field remains fragmented with no other team matching Atlanta’s early dominance. The race could tighten if late-season injuries or division races shift narratives before the BBWAA vote.

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$80,548
Data de Término
19 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 26, 2026, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Walt Weiss leads the NL Manager of the Year market at 39.5% implied probability due to the Atlanta Braves’ dominant first-half performance under the first-year skipper, who took over after Brian Snitker’s retirement. The club sits atop the NL East with a .648 win percentage and strong run differential, far exceeding 2025 expectations despite injuries. Traders credit Weiss’s aggressive bullpen tactics and clubhouse continuity for sustaining momentum. Don Kelly (11%) and Pat Murphy (10.2%) trail on the strength of solid Pirates and Brewers campaigns, respectively, while the rest of the field remains fragmented with no other team matching Atlanta’s early dominance. The race could tighten if late-season injuries or division races shift narratives before the BBWAA vote.

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$80,548
Data de Término
19 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 26, 2026, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: NL Manager of the Year" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Walt Weiss" at 22%, followed by "Pat Murphy" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 22¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: NL Manager of the Year" has generated $80.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: NL Manager of the Year," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: NL Manager of the Year" is "Walt Weiss" at 22%, meaning the market assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Pat Murphy" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: NL Manager of the Year" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.