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icon for MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry

MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry

icon for MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry

MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry

Diaz

44% chance
Polymarket

$61,015 Vol.

Diaz

44% chance
Polymarket

$61,015 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Diaz" if Nate Diaz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mike Perry at Most Valuable Promotions 1: Rousey vs. Carano, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Perry" if Mike Perry is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.mostvaluablepromotions.com/. Mike Perry holds a slim 55.5% implied probability edge as trader consensus in this closely contested welterweight main card matchup at MVP MMA 1, driven by his dominant bare-knuckle form—including a brutal TKO retention of the King of Violence title over Jeremy Stephens in October 2025 via six knockdowns—and knockout power that plays to his brawling style against Nate Diaz's elite grappling. Diaz, nearing 41, returns to MMA after a 3.5-year layoff since submitting Tony Ferguson in 2022, relying on legendary Stockton cardio and submissions in a five-round format that tests endurance. Perry's healed training camp cut from late April poses no reported issues, while both made weight at 171 pounds, heightening stylistic clash anticipation with Diaz's reach advantage but Perry's recent momentum.

This market will resolve to "Diaz" if Nate Diaz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mike Perry at Most Valuable Promotions 1: Rousey vs. Carano, scheduled for May 16, 2026.

It will resolve to "Perry" if Mike Perry is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.mostvaluablepromotions.com/.
Volume
$61,015
Data de Término
17 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Diaz" if Nate Diaz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mike Perry at Most Valuable Promotions 1: Rousey vs. Carano, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Perry" if Mike Perry is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.mostvaluablepromotions.com/.
This market will resolve to "Diaz" if Nate Diaz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mike Perry at Most Valuable Promotions 1: Rousey vs. Carano, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Perry" if Mike Perry is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.mostvaluablepromotions.com/. Mike Perry holds a slim 55.5% implied probability edge as trader consensus in this closely contested welterweight main card matchup at MVP MMA 1, driven by his dominant bare-knuckle form—including a brutal TKO retention of the King of Violence title over Jeremy Stephens in October 2025 via six knockdowns—and knockout power that plays to his brawling style against Nate Diaz's elite grappling. Diaz, nearing 41, returns to MMA after a 3.5-year layoff since submitting Tony Ferguson in 2022, relying on legendary Stockton cardio and submissions in a five-round format that tests endurance. Perry's healed training camp cut from late April poses no reported issues, while both made weight at 171 pounds, heightening stylistic clash anticipation with Diaz's reach advantage but Perry's recent momentum.

This market will resolve to "Diaz" if Nate Diaz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mike Perry at Most Valuable Promotions 1: Rousey vs. Carano, scheduled for May 16, 2026.

It will resolve to "Perry" if Mike Perry is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.mostvaluablepromotions.com/.
Volume
$61,015
Data de Término
17 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Diaz" if Nate Diaz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mike Perry at Most Valuable Promotions 1: Rousey vs. Carano, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Perry" if Mike Perry is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.mostvaluablepromotions.com/.

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Frequently Asked Questions

" MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is " MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, " MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry" has generated $61K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on " MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for " MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry" is " MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for " MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.