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icon for Quem será o campeão peso galo do UFC no final de 2026?

Quem será o campeão peso galo do UFC no final de 2026?

icon for Quem será o campeão peso galo do UFC no final de 2026?

Quem será o campeão peso galo do UFC no final de 2026?

Petr Yan 60%

Merab Dvalishvili 32%

Song Yadong 2.4%

Sean O'Malley <1%

Polymarket

$461,437 Vol.

Petr Yan 60%

Merab Dvalishvili 32%

Song Yadong 2.4%

Sean O'Malley <1%

Polymarket

$461,437 Vol.

Petr Yan

$8,049 Vol.

60%

Merab Dvalishvili

$7,616 Vol.

32%

Song Yadong

$120,162 Vol.

2%

Sean O'Malley

$9,519 Vol.

1%

David Martinez

$111,117 Vol.

<1%

Umar Nurmagomedov

$5,345 Vol.

<1%

Cory Sandhagen

$4,855 Vol.

<1%

Deiveson Figueiredo

$43,138 Vol.

<1%

Aiemann Zahabi

$62,923 Vol.

<1%

Marlon Vera

$65,461 Vol.

<1%

Mario Bautista

$23,252 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Petr Yan holds a strong 60% implied probability as the current UFC bantamweight champion following his unanimous decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025, bolstered by prior wins against Song Yadong, Deiveson Figueiredo, and Marcus McGhee that restored his elite status after earlier setbacks. The scheduled trilogy bout at UFC 333 on October 24, 2026, positions Yan as the frontrunner in trader consensus, with Dvalishvili at 31.5% reflecting his proven wrestling volume and history of title defenses but tempered by the recent loss and Yan's improved form. Song Yadong sits at 2.4% after a recent knockout of Umar Nurmagomedov, while lower-priced names like Sean O'Malley and others trail due to limited recent title contention momentum in a division where the October outcome will likely determine the year-end champion.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$461,437
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Petr Yan holds a strong 60% implied probability as the current UFC bantamweight champion following his unanimous decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025, bolstered by prior wins against Song Yadong, Deiveson Figueiredo, and Marcus McGhee that restored his elite status after earlier setbacks. The scheduled trilogy bout at UFC 333 on October 24, 2026, positions Yan as the frontrunner in trader consensus, with Dvalishvili at 31.5% reflecting his proven wrestling volume and history of title defenses but tempered by the recent loss and Yan's improved form. Song Yadong sits at 2.4% after a recent knockout of Umar Nurmagomedov, while lower-priced names like Sean O'Malley and others trail due to limited recent title contention momentum in a division where the October outcome will likely determine the year-end champion.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$461,437
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem será o campeão peso galo do UFC no final de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Petr Yan" at 60%, followed by "Merab Dvalishvili" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 60¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem será o campeão peso galo do UFC no final de 2026?" has generated $461.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem será o campeão peso galo do UFC no final de 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem será o campeão peso galo do UFC no final de 2026?" is "Petr Yan" at 60%, meaning the market assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Merab Dvalishvili" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem será o campeão peso galo do UFC no final de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.