Skip to main content
icon for Próximo treinador do Real Madrid?
Desporto·La Liga

Próximo treinador do Real Madrid?

icon for Próximo treinador do Real Madrid?
Desporto·La Liga

Próximo treinador do Real Madrid?

José Mourinho 92%

Didier Deschamps 4.0%

Thomas Tuchel 3.0%

Jurgen Klopp 1.7%

Polymarket

$116,302 Vol.

José Mourinho 92%

Didier Deschamps 4.0%

Thomas Tuchel 3.0%

Jurgen Klopp 1.7%

Polymarket

$116,302 Vol.

José Mourinho

$50,675 Vol.

92%

Didier Deschamps

$3,729 Vol.

4%

Thomas Tuchel

$3,152 Vol.

3%

Jurgen Klopp

$16,592 Vol.

2%

Zinedine Zidane

$5,861 Vol.

1%

Mauricio Pochettino

$3,132 Vol.

1%

Luis Enrique

$2,320 Vol.

1%

Massimiliano Allegri

$10,534 Vol.

1%

Enzo Maresca

$5,412 Vol.

1%

Unai Emery

$2,534 Vol.

1%

Mikel Arteta

$2,963 Vol.

1%

Julian Nagelsmann

$2,354 Vol.

1%

Andoni Iraola

$1,805 Vol.

<1%

Robert De Zerbi

$1,601 Vol.

<1%

Oliver Glasner

$2,126 Vol.

<1%

Lionel Scaloni

$1,511 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Jose Mourinho at 91% implied probability to become Real Madrid's next manager, driven by reports over the past 48 hours of final negotiations and a verbal agreement reached with club president Florentino Pérez, positioning him as the sole candidate to replace interim head coach Álvaro Arbeloa. Arbeloa's tenure, starting in January after Xabi Alonso's midseason sacking, faltered with a Champions League exit to Bayern Munich in April and a faltering La Liga title challenge, prompting a summer overhaul despite his 49.5% standing from loyalty and recent stability. Mourinho's prior Bernabéu stint (2010-13), including a record 100-point La Liga season, bolsters his appeal for instant impact. Scenarios like Pérez's final veto, club elections delaying the hire, or Arbeloa's retention could still shift odds, though trader sentiment reflects near-certainty on the Special One's return.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid.

If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$116,302
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Jose Mourinho at 91% implied probability to become Real Madrid's next manager, driven by reports over the past 48 hours of final negotiations and a verbal agreement reached with club president Florentino Pérez, positioning him as the sole candidate to replace interim head coach Álvaro Arbeloa. Arbeloa's tenure, starting in January after Xabi Alonso's midseason sacking, faltered with a Champions League exit to Bayern Munich in April and a faltering La Liga title challenge, prompting a summer overhaul despite his 49.5% standing from loyalty and recent stability. Mourinho's prior Bernabéu stint (2010-13), including a record 100-point La Liga season, bolsters his appeal for instant impact. Scenarios like Pérez's final veto, club elections delaying the hire, or Arbeloa's retention could still shift odds, though trader sentiment reflects near-certainty on the Special One's return.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid.

If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$116,302
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximo treinador do Real Madrid?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "José Mourinho" at 92%, followed by "Didier Deschamps" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximo treinador do Real Madrid?" has generated $116.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximo treinador do Real Madrid?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximo treinador do Real Madrid?" is "José Mourinho" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Didier Deschamps" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximo treinador do Real Madrid?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.