The tightly bunched implied probabilities among top contenders for the 2026 PGA Championship reflect a wide-open major where recent form, course history, and major pedigree keep several players within striking distance. Alex Smalley leads the trader consensus at 17.2 percent, narrowly ahead of Jon Rahm at 16.7 percent, Ludvig Aberg at 14.8 percent, and Rory McIlroy at 13.8 percent, illustrating how the wisdom of crowds prices the field when no single golfer has pulled away. Strong season-long momentum, prior major results, and the demands of a demanding stroke-play layout continue to compress the odds at the top, leaving room for late leaderboard movement or strong final-round surges to reshape the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoJon Rahm 16.9%
Alex Smalley 16.8%
Ludvig Aberg 14.5%
Rory McIlroy 13.2%
$6,631,275 Vol.
$6,631,275 Vol.
18 mai 2026
Jon Rahm
17%
Alex Smalley
17%
Ludvig Aberg
15%
Rory McIlroy
13%
Xander Schauffele
8%
Nick Taylor
5%
Aaron Rai
5%
Hideki Matsuyama
5%
Patrick Reed
3%
Joaquin Niemann
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Matti Schmid
3%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Scottie Scheffler
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Harris English
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Jon Rahm 16.9%
Alex Smalley 16.8%
Ludvig Aberg 14.5%
Rory McIlroy 13.2%
$6,631,275 Vol.
$6,631,275 Vol.
18 mai 2026
Jon Rahm
$300,355 Vol.
17%
Alex Smalley
$273,105 Vol.
17%
Ludvig Aberg
$180,243 Vol.
15%
Rory McIlroy
$493,747 Vol.
13%
Xander Schauffele
$372,163 Vol.
8%
Nick Taylor
$150,656 Vol.
5%
Aaron Rai
$76,599 Vol.
5%
Hideki Matsuyama
$142,788 Vol.
5%
Patrick Reed
$107,342 Vol.
3%
Joaquin Niemann
$59,860 Vol.
3%
Justin Rose
$159,896 Vol.
3%
Maverick McNealy
$73,144 Vol.
3%
Matti Schmid
$86,197 Vol.
3%
Chris Gotterup
$116,736 Vol.
2%
Scottie Scheffler
$699,398 Vol.
1%
Cameron Smith
$59,915 Vol.
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
$117,284 Vol.
1%
Ben Griffin
$47,113 Vol.
1%
Justin Thomas
$116,532 Vol.
1%
Sam Burns
$54,571 Vol.
1%
Harris English
$56,493 Vol.
1%
Bud Cauley
$41,681 Vol.
1%
Min Woo Lee
$164,018 Vol.
1%
Andrew Novak
$935 Vol.
1%
Rickie Fowler
$88,033 Vol.
<1%
David Puig
$57,080 Vol.
<1%
Jordan Spieth
$91,722 Vol.
<1%
Brian Harman
$2,486 Vol.
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
$161,801 Vol.
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
$66,525 Vol.
<1%
Si Woo Kim
$61,267 Vol.
<1%
Cameron Young
$292,146 Vol.
<1%
Brooks Koepka
$122,765 Vol.
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
$72,794 Vol.
<1%
Collin Morikawa
$210,723 Vol.
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
$134,675 Vol.
<1%
Shane Lowry
$74,556 Vol.
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
$54,789 Vol.
<1%
Alex Noren
$4,596 Vol.
<1%
Corey Conners
$45,221 Vol.
<1%
Haotong Li
$195,000 Vol.
<1%
Sam Stevens
$39,906 Vol.
<1%
Sahith Theegala
$54,523 Vol.
<1%
Michael Brennan
$14,720 Vol.
<1%
Ryan Fox
$6,101 Vol.
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
$48,170 Vol.
<1%
John Keefer
$1,305 Vol.
<1%
Andrew Putnam
$5,544 Vol.
<1%
Sami Valimaki
$1,835 Vol.
<1%
Daniel Brown
$8,963 Vol.
<1%
Jason Day
$48,263 Vol.
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
$1,848 Vol.
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
$103,305 Vol.
<1%
Matt Wallace
$1,165 Vol.
<1%
Daniel Berger
$26,588 Vol.
<1%
Ryan Gerard
$21,069 Vol.
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
$86,198 Vol.
<1%
Dustin Johnson
$21,736 Vol.
<1%
Keith Mitchell
$1,956 Vol.
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
$4,146 Vol.
<1%
John Parry
$877 Vol.
<1%
Elvis Smylie
$1,759 Vol.
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
$3,367 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tightly bunched implied probabilities among top contenders for the 2026 PGA Championship reflect a wide-open major where recent form, course history, and major pedigree keep several players within striking distance. Alex Smalley leads the trader consensus at 17.2 percent, narrowly ahead of Jon Rahm at 16.7 percent, Ludvig Aberg at 14.8 percent, and Rory McIlroy at 13.8 percent, illustrating how the wisdom of crowds prices the field when no single golfer has pulled away. Strong season-long momentum, prior major results, and the demands of a demanding stroke-play layout continue to compress the odds at the top, leaving room for late leaderboard movement or strong final-round surges to reshape the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Volume
$6,631,275Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tightly bunched implied probabilities among top contenders for the 2026 PGA Championship reflect a wide-open major where recent form, course history, and major pedigree keep several players within striking distance. Alex Smalley leads the trader consensus at 17.2 percent, narrowly ahead of Jon Rahm at 16.7 percent, Ludvig Aberg at 14.8 percent, and Rory McIlroy at 13.8 percent, illustrating how the wisdom of crowds prices the field when no single golfer has pulled away. Strong season-long momentum, prior major results, and the demands of a demanding stroke-play layout continue to compress the odds at the top, leaving room for late leaderboard movement or strong final-round surges to reshape the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,631,275Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tightly bunched implied probabilities among top contenders for the 2026 PGA Championship reflect a wide-open major where recent form, course history, and major pedigree keep several players within striking distance. Alex Smalley leads the trader consensus at 17.2 percent, narrowly ahead of Jon Rahm at 16.7 percent, Ludvig Aberg at 14.8 percent, and Rory McIlroy at 13.8 percent, illustrating how the wisdom of crowds prices the field when no single golfer has pulled away. Strong season-long momentum, prior major results, and the demands of a demanding stroke-play layout continue to compress the odds at the top, leaving room for late leaderboard movement or strong final-round surges to reshape the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions