The 2026 PGA Championship winner market reflects a tightly bunched field where Jon Rahm holds a 26.7% implied probability edge over Ludvig Aberg at 19.8%, with Rory McIlroy at 13.6%. This competitive dynamic arises from several players posting strong recent form across PGA Tour events and prior major championship results, combined with favorable course history and consistent world rankings positioning. Aberg’s rapid rise and Rahm’s proven major pedigree keep pressure on established names like McIlroy, while a deep group of contenders with solid recent finishes and no dominant standout prevents any single golfer from pulling away significantly in trader consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoJon Rahm 26.7%
Ludvig Aberg 19.8%
Rory McIlroy 13.6%
Alex Smalley 13.3%
$6,961,425 Vol.
$6,961,425 Vol.
Jon Rahm
27%
Ludvig Aberg
20%
Rory McIlroy
14%
Alex Smalley
13%
Aaron Rai
9%
Cameron Smith
5%
Nick Taylor
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Joaquin Niemann
3%
Matti Schmid
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Justin Thomas
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Scottie Scheffler
1%
Chris Gotterup
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Harris English
<1%
Patrick Reed
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Jon Rahm 26.7%
Ludvig Aberg 19.8%
Rory McIlroy 13.6%
Alex Smalley 13.3%
$6,961,425 Vol.
$6,961,425 Vol.
Jon Rahm
27%
Ludvig Aberg
20%
Rory McIlroy
14%
Alex Smalley
13%
Aaron Rai
9%
Cameron Smith
5%
Nick Taylor
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Joaquin Niemann
3%
Matti Schmid
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Justin Thomas
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Scottie Scheffler
1%
Chris Gotterup
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Harris English
<1%
Patrick Reed
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 PGA Championship winner market reflects a tightly bunched field where Jon Rahm holds a 26.7% implied probability edge over Ludvig Aberg at 19.8%, with Rory McIlroy at 13.6%. This competitive dynamic arises from several players posting strong recent form across PGA Tour events and prior major championship results, combined with favorable course history and consistent world rankings positioning. Aberg’s rapid rise and Rahm’s proven major pedigree keep pressure on established names like McIlroy, while a deep group of contenders with solid recent finishes and no dominant standout prevents any single golfer from pulling away significantly in trader consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions