The closely bunched implied probabilities at the top of the 2026 PGA Championship market reflect a deep, wide-open field on the PGA Tour with no dominant favorite. Alex Smalley edges the consensus at 16.4 percent, followed within two points by Jon Rahm, Ludvig Aberg, and Rory McIlroy, while established names like Scottie Scheffler and Brooks Koepka sit much lower. Recent form on similar layouts, current world rankings, and major-championship experience continue to drive these tight spreads, as several players have posted strong results in stroke-play events this season and hold proven course-history advantages that keep multiple paths to victory realistic for traders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoJon Rahm 17.3%
Alex Smalley 17.3%
Ludvig Aberg 15.6%
Rory McIlroy 11.9%
$6,686,261 Vol.
$6,686,261 Vol.
18 mai 2026
Jon Rahm
17%
Alex Smalley
17%
Ludvig Aberg
16%
Rory McIlroy
12%
Xander Schauffele
7%
Maverick McNealy
5%
Nick Taylor
5%
Aaron Rai
5%
Patrick Reed
4%
Cameron Smith
4%
Matti Schmid
3%
Joaquin Niemann
3%
Justin Rose
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Scottie Scheffler
2%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
David Puig
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Jon Rahm 17.3%
Alex Smalley 17.3%
Ludvig Aberg 15.6%
Rory McIlroy 11.9%
$6,686,261 Vol.
$6,686,261 Vol.
18 mai 2026
Jon Rahm
$313,774 Vol.
17%
Alex Smalley
$277,166 Vol.
17%
Ludvig Aberg
$183,064 Vol.
16%
Rory McIlroy
$498,823 Vol.
12%
Xander Schauffele
$372,504 Vol.
7%
Maverick McNealy
$73,914 Vol.
5%
Nick Taylor
$152,277 Vol.
5%
Aaron Rai
$77,200 Vol.
5%
Patrick Reed
$108,289 Vol.
4%
Cameron Smith
$64,760 Vol.
4%
Matti Schmid
$94,273 Vol.
3%
Joaquin Niemann
$66,896 Vol.
3%
Justin Rose
$161,999 Vol.
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
$150,993 Vol.
2%
Chris Gotterup
$117,964 Vol.
2%
Scottie Scheffler
$713,144 Vol.
2%
Kristoffer Reitan
$120,140 Vol.
1%
Ben Griffin
$47,127 Vol.
1%
David Puig
$58,376 Vol.
1%
Justin Thomas
$116,538 Vol.
1%
Sam Burns
$54,571 Vol.
1%
Min Woo Lee
$164,036 Vol.
1%
Bud Cauley
$42,590 Vol.
<1%
Andrew Novak
$935 Vol.
<1%
Harris English
$56,497 Vol.
<1%
Brooks Koepka
$123,545 Vol.
<1%
Cameron Young
$292,281 Vol.
<1%
Jordan Spieth
$91,722 Vol.
<1%
Brian Harman
$2,486 Vol.
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
$161,801 Vol.
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
$72,794 Vol.
<1%
Collin Morikawa
$210,723 Vol.
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
$134,675 Vol.
<1%
Shane Lowry
$74,556 Vol.
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
$54,789 Vol.
<1%
Alex Noren
$4,596 Vol.
<1%
Corey Conners
$45,221 Vol.
<1%
Haotong Li
$195,000 Vol.
<1%
Sam Stevens
$39,906 Vol.
<1%
Sahith Theegala
$54,523 Vol.
<1%
Michael Brennan
$14,720 Vol.
<1%
Ryan Fox
$6,101 Vol.
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
$48,170 Vol.
<1%
John Keefer
$1,305 Vol.
<1%
Andrew Putnam
$5,544 Vol.
<1%
Sami Valimaki
$1,835 Vol.
<1%
Daniel Brown
$8,963 Vol.
<1%
Rickie Fowler
$88,033 Vol.
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
$66,525 Vol.
<1%
Si Woo Kim
$61,267 Vol.
<1%
Jason Day
$48,263 Vol.
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
$1,848 Vol.
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
$103,305 Vol.
<1%
Matt Wallace
$1,165 Vol.
<1%
Daniel Berger
$26,588 Vol.
<1%
Ryan Gerard
$21,069 Vol.
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
$86,198 Vol.
<1%
Dustin Johnson
$21,736 Vol.
<1%
Keith Mitchell
$1,956 Vol.
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
$4,146 Vol.
<1%
John Parry
$877 Vol.
<1%
Elvis Smylie
$1,759 Vol.
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
$3,367 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely bunched implied probabilities at the top of the 2026 PGA Championship market reflect a deep, wide-open field on the PGA Tour with no dominant favorite. Alex Smalley edges the consensus at 16.4 percent, followed within two points by Jon Rahm, Ludvig Aberg, and Rory McIlroy, while established names like Scottie Scheffler and Brooks Koepka sit much lower. Recent form on similar layouts, current world rankings, and major-championship experience continue to drive these tight spreads, as several players have posted strong results in stroke-play events this season and hold proven course-history advantages that keep multiple paths to victory realistic for traders.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Volume
$6,686,261Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely bunched implied probabilities at the top of the 2026 PGA Championship market reflect a deep, wide-open field on the PGA Tour with no dominant favorite. Alex Smalley edges the consensus at 16.4 percent, followed within two points by Jon Rahm, Ludvig Aberg, and Rory McIlroy, while established names like Scottie Scheffler and Brooks Koepka sit much lower. Recent form on similar layouts, current world rankings, and major-championship experience continue to drive these tight spreads, as several players have posted strong results in stroke-play events this season and hold proven course-history advantages that keep multiple paths to victory realistic for traders.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,686,261Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely bunched implied probabilities at the top of the 2026 PGA Championship market reflect a deep, wide-open field on the PGA Tour with no dominant favorite. Alex Smalley edges the consensus at 16.4 percent, followed within two points by Jon Rahm, Ludvig Aberg, and Rory McIlroy, while established names like Scottie Scheffler and Brooks Koepka sit much lower. Recent form on similar layouts, current world rankings, and major-championship experience continue to drive these tight spreads, as several players have posted strong results in stroke-play events this season and hold proven course-history advantages that keep multiple paths to victory realistic for traders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions