Aaron Rai has surged to the top of the leaderboard in the final round at Aronimink Golf Club, posting strong scoring on the back nine with consecutive birdies that have given him sole possession of the lead and established him as the clear trader favorite. Matti Schmid and Jon Rahm remain within striking distance in a tightly bunched field, where recent form and clutch putting on a demanding layout continue to shape probabilities. Alex Smalley, who held a two-shot advantage after round three, has faded slightly amid the pressure, while the rest of the field trails by larger margins that limit realistic comeback paths. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these prices accounts for Rai's momentum, historical major performance under similar conditions, and the slim margins typical of PGA Championship finishes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAaron Rai 75.4%
Jon Rahm 14.2%
Matti Schmid 12.0%
Justin Thomas 1.2%
$8,343,224 Vol.
$8,343,224 Vol.
Aaron Rai
75%
Jon Rahm
14%
Matti Schmid
12%
Justin Thomas
1%
Alex Smalley
1%
Rory McIlroy
<1%
Xander Schauffele
<1%
Ludvig Aberg
<1%
Patrick Reed
<1%
Scottie Scheffler
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Maverick McNealy
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Cameron Smith
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Justin Rose
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Nick Taylor
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Aaron Rai 75.4%
Jon Rahm 14.2%
Matti Schmid 12.0%
Justin Thomas 1.2%
$8,343,224 Vol.
$8,343,224 Vol.
Aaron Rai
75%
Jon Rahm
14%
Matti Schmid
12%
Justin Thomas
1%
Alex Smalley
1%
Rory McIlroy
<1%
Xander Schauffele
<1%
Ludvig Aberg
<1%
Patrick Reed
<1%
Scottie Scheffler
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Maverick McNealy
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Cameron Smith
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Justin Rose
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Nick Taylor
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aaron Rai has surged to the top of the leaderboard in the final round at Aronimink Golf Club, posting strong scoring on the back nine with consecutive birdies that have given him sole possession of the lead and established him as the clear trader favorite. Matti Schmid and Jon Rahm remain within striking distance in a tightly bunched field, where recent form and clutch putting on a demanding layout continue to shape probabilities. Alex Smalley, who held a two-shot advantage after round three, has faded slightly amid the pressure, while the rest of the field trails by larger margins that limit realistic comeback paths. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these prices accounts for Rai's momentum, historical major performance under similar conditions, and the slim margins typical of PGA Championship finishes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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