Jon Rahm holds the top implied probability in this 2026 PGA Championship market at Aronimink Golf Club thanks to his proven major pedigree, two LIV wins this season, and strong ball-striking that positions him just off the lead entering Sunday. Alex Smalley’s solo three-round lead creates an underdog narrative, yet traders discount his lack of PGA Tour victories and major experience against Rahm’s history of closing in big events. Rory McIlroy and Ludvig Åberg sit close behind with recent strong tee-to-green numbers, while longshots like Matti Schmid and Aaron Rai reflect the wide-open field where any contender can capitalize on Sunday’s conditions. This trader consensus underscores Rahm’s edge in handling pressure over less-tested rivals in a tightly bunched leaderboard.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoJon Rahm 29.5%
Aaron Rai 28.4%
Matti Schmid 11.3%
Rory McIlroy 9.7%
$7,746,013 Vol.
$7,746,013 Vol.
Jon Rahm
30%
Aaron Rai
28%
Matti Schmid
11%
Rory McIlroy
10%
Alex Smalley
6%
Justin Thomas
4%
Cameron Smith
4%
Nick Taylor
3%
Xander Schauffele
2%
Ludvig Aberg
2%
Justin Rose
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Patrick Reed
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
Scottie Scheffler
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Maverick McNealy
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Harris English
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Jon Rahm 29.5%
Aaron Rai 28.4%
Matti Schmid 11.3%
Rory McIlroy 9.7%
$7,746,013 Vol.
$7,746,013 Vol.
Jon Rahm
30%
Aaron Rai
28%
Matti Schmid
11%
Rory McIlroy
10%
Alex Smalley
6%
Justin Thomas
4%
Cameron Smith
4%
Nick Taylor
3%
Xander Schauffele
2%
Ludvig Aberg
2%
Justin Rose
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Patrick Reed
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
Scottie Scheffler
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Maverick McNealy
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Harris English
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jon Rahm holds the top implied probability in this 2026 PGA Championship market at Aronimink Golf Club thanks to his proven major pedigree, two LIV wins this season, and strong ball-striking that positions him just off the lead entering Sunday. Alex Smalley’s solo three-round lead creates an underdog narrative, yet traders discount his lack of PGA Tour victories and major experience against Rahm’s history of closing in big events. Rory McIlroy and Ludvig Åberg sit close behind with recent strong tee-to-green numbers, while longshots like Matti Schmid and Aaron Rai reflect the wide-open field where any contender can capitalize on Sunday’s conditions. This trader consensus underscores Rahm’s edge in handling pressure over less-tested rivals in a tightly bunched leaderboard.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Frequently Asked Questions