The 2026 PGA Championship presents a tightly bunched field where implied probabilities reflect broad uncertainty among contenders. Matti Schmid holds a narrow lead in trader consensus, closely followed by Jon Rahm and Nick Taylor, with Rory McIlroy and others within striking distance. This distribution stems from recent PGA Tour form, course-specific ball-striking demands, and the absence of any dominant pre-tournament favorite. Historical major volatility, combined with variable weather and pin placements at Quail Hollow, continues to support multiple viable paths to victory. The spread keeps the race open, as strong weekend performances or a single hot putter can shift momentum rapidly in stroke-play format.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMatti Schmid 22.9%
Jon Rahm 21.1%
Rory McIlroy 12.1%
Nick Taylor 10.4%
$7,580,978 Vol.
$7,580,978 Vol.
18 mai 2026
Matti Schmid
23%
Jon Rahm
21%
Rory McIlroy
12%
Nick Taylor
10%
Ludvig Aberg
9%
Aaron Rai
8%
Cameron Smith
8%
Xander Schauffele
6%
Justin Thomas
4%
Alex Smalley
3%
Ben Griffin
1%
Justin Rose
1%
Patrick Reed
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
Maverick McNealy
<1%
Scottie Scheffler
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Harris English
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Matti Schmid 22.9%
Jon Rahm 21.1%
Rory McIlroy 12.1%
Nick Taylor 10.4%
$7,580,978 Vol.
$7,580,978 Vol.
18 mai 2026
Matti Schmid
$126,274 Vol.
23%
Jon Rahm
$442,306 Vol.
21%
Rory McIlroy
$731,488 Vol.
12%
Nick Taylor
$175,464 Vol.
10%
Ludvig Aberg
$260,430 Vol.
9%
Aaron Rai
$104,958 Vol.
8%
Cameron Smith
$98,562 Vol.
8%
Xander Schauffele
$480,347 Vol.
6%
Justin Thomas
$137,673 Vol.
4%
Alex Smalley
$326,345 Vol.
3%
Ben Griffin
$50,143 Vol.
1%
Justin Rose
$173,572 Vol.
1%
Patrick Reed
$159,417 Vol.
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
$76,069 Vol.
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
$163,703 Vol.
<1%
Chris Gotterup
$122,107 Vol.
<1%
Maverick McNealy
$81,172 Vol.
<1%
Scottie Scheffler
$744,460 Vol.
<1%
Cameron Young
$295,076 Vol.
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
$162,805 Vol.
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
$72,795 Vol.
<1%
Brooks Koepka
$125,659 Vol.
<1%
Collin Morikawa
$210,723 Vol.
<1%
Sam Burns
$54,571 Vol.
<1%
Jordan Spieth
$91,722 Vol.
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
$134,675 Vol.
<1%
Shane Lowry
$74,556 Vol.
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
$54,789 Vol.
<1%
Alex Noren
$4,596 Vol.
<1%
Corey Conners
$45,221 Vol.
<1%
Haotong Li
$195,000 Vol.
<1%
Sam Stevens
$39,906 Vol.
<1%
Sahith Theegala
$54,523 Vol.
<1%
Michael Brennan
$14,720 Vol.
<1%
Ryan Fox
$6,101 Vol.
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
$48,170 Vol.
<1%
John Keefer
$1,305 Vol.
<1%
Andrew Novak
$935 Vol.
<1%
Andrew Putnam
$5,544 Vol.
<1%
Sami Valimaki
$1,835 Vol.
<1%
Daniel Brown
$8,963 Vol.
<1%
Min Woo Lee
$164,751 Vol.
<1%
Rickie Fowler
$88,039 Vol.
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
$66,525 Vol.
<1%
Si Woo Kim
$61,267 Vol.
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
$132,700 Vol.
<1%
Harris English
$59,500 Vol.
<1%
David Puig
$58,385 Vol.
<1%
Jason Day
$48,263 Vol.
<1%
Brian Harman
$2,486 Vol.
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
$1,848 Vol.
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
$103,305 Vol.
<1%
Matt Wallace
$1,165 Vol.
<1%
Daniel Berger
$26,588 Vol.
<1%
Bud Cauley
$42,600 Vol.
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
$86,198 Vol.
<1%
Dustin Johnson
$21,736 Vol.
<1%
Keith Mitchell
$1,956 Vol.
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
$4,146 Vol.
<1%
John Parry
$877 Vol.
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
$3,367 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 PGA Championship presents a tightly bunched field where implied probabilities reflect broad uncertainty among contenders. Matti Schmid holds a narrow lead in trader consensus, closely followed by Jon Rahm and Nick Taylor, with Rory McIlroy and others within striking distance. This distribution stems from recent PGA Tour form, course-specific ball-striking demands, and the absence of any dominant pre-tournament favorite. Historical major volatility, combined with variable weather and pin placements at Quail Hollow, continues to support multiple viable paths to victory. The spread keeps the race open, as strong weekend performances or a single hot putter can shift momentum rapidly in stroke-play format.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Volume
$7,580,978Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 PGA Championship presents a tightly bunched field where implied probabilities reflect broad uncertainty among contenders. Matti Schmid holds a narrow lead in trader consensus, closely followed by Jon Rahm and Nick Taylor, with Rory McIlroy and others within striking distance. This distribution stems from recent PGA Tour form, course-specific ball-striking demands, and the absence of any dominant pre-tournament favorite. Historical major volatility, combined with variable weather and pin placements at Quail Hollow, continues to support multiple viable paths to victory. The spread keeps the race open, as strong weekend performances or a single hot putter can shift momentum rapidly in stroke-play format.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,580,978Data de Término
18 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The 2026 PGA Championship presents a tightly bunched field where implied probabilities reflect broad uncertainty among contenders. Matti Schmid holds a narrow lead in trader consensus, closely followed by Jon Rahm and Nick Taylor, with Rory McIlroy and others within striking distance. This distribution stems from recent PGA Tour form, course-specific ball-striking demands, and the absence of any dominant pre-tournament favorite. Historical major volatility, combined with variable weather and pin placements at Quail Hollow, continues to support multiple viable paths to victory. The spread keeps the race open, as strong weekend performances or a single hot putter can shift momentum rapidly in stroke-play format.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions