Entering the final round at Aronimink Golf Club, the 2026 PGA Championship features a bunched leaderboard that has compressed probabilities across the top contenders. Alex Smalley's solo lead after three rounds, combined with steady positioning from Jon Rahm and Ludvig Aberg, has kept the race competitive, while Rory McIlroy's consistent tee-to-green play sustains his share. Recent rounds highlight how the course setup rewards accurate approach shots and bogey avoidance, allowing multiple players within five shots to remain viable. This setup underscores the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing, where no single golfer holds a dominant edge entering Sunday.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoJon Rahm 36.5%
Ludvig Aberg 20.0%
Alex Smalley 13.1%
Rory McIlroy 12.7%
$6,835,653 Vol.
$6,835,653 Vol.
Jon Rahm
37%
Ludvig Aberg
20%
Alex Smalley
13%
Rory McIlroy
13%
Aaron Rai
5%
Xander Schauffele
4%
Nick Taylor
3%
Cameron Smith
3%
Joaquin Niemann
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Matti Schmid
1%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Scottie Scheffler
1%
Chris Gotterup
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Patrick Reed
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Jon Rahm 36.5%
Ludvig Aberg 20.0%
Alex Smalley 13.1%
Rory McIlroy 12.7%
$6,835,653 Vol.
$6,835,653 Vol.
Jon Rahm
37%
Ludvig Aberg
20%
Alex Smalley
13%
Rory McIlroy
13%
Aaron Rai
5%
Xander Schauffele
4%
Nick Taylor
3%
Cameron Smith
3%
Joaquin Niemann
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Matti Schmid
1%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Scottie Scheffler
1%
Chris Gotterup
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Patrick Reed
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Entering the final round at Aronimink Golf Club, the 2026 PGA Championship features a bunched leaderboard that has compressed probabilities across the top contenders. Alex Smalley's solo lead after three rounds, combined with steady positioning from Jon Rahm and Ludvig Aberg, has kept the race competitive, while Rory McIlroy's consistent tee-to-green play sustains his share. Recent rounds highlight how the course setup rewards accurate approach shots and bogey avoidance, allowing multiple players within five shots to remain viable. This setup underscores the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing, where no single golfer holds a dominant edge entering Sunday.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions