Tesla shares closed at $406.43 on June 12, 2026, with the wide distribution of implied probabilities across price bins centered on current levels reflecting elevated short-term volatility and limited near-term catalysts ahead of Q2 earnings on July 22. Trader sentiment incorporates ongoing EV-sector competition, recent delivery trends, and spillover effects from Elon Musk’s SpaceX valuation surge, which some view as a potential source of share-selling pressure. The 32.5% probability attached to closes above $420 versus the 17.5% for sub-$375 outcomes highlights uncertainty around momentum continuation versus profit-taking or macroeconomic headwinds, with volume and moving-average support near $400–$410 serving as key technical reference points for the week ending June 19.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTesla (TSLA) closes week of Jun 15 at ___?
>$420 33%
<$375 18%
$380-$385 11%
$385-$390 10%
<$375
18%
$375-$380
8%
$380-$385
11%
$385-$390
10%
$390-$395
9%
$395-$400
9%
$400-$405
9%
$405-$410
9%
$410-$415
9%
$415-$420
8%
>$420
33%
>$420 33%
<$375 18%
$380-$385 11%
$385-$390 10%
<$375
18%
$375-$380
8%
$380-$385
11%
$385-$390
10%
$390-$395
9%
$395-$400
9%
$400-$405
9%
$405-$410
9%
$410-$415
9%
$415-$420
8%
>$420
33%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado Aberto: Jun 12, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Fonte de resolução
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tesla shares closed at $406.43 on June 12, 2026, with the wide distribution of implied probabilities across price bins centered on current levels reflecting elevated short-term volatility and limited near-term catalysts ahead of Q2 earnings on July 22. Trader sentiment incorporates ongoing EV-sector competition, recent delivery trends, and spillover effects from Elon Musk’s SpaceX valuation surge, which some view as a potential source of share-selling pressure. The 32.5% probability attached to closes above $420 versus the 17.5% for sub-$375 outcomes highlights uncertainty around momentum continuation versus profit-taking or macroeconomic headwinds, with volume and moving-average support near $400–$410 serving as key technical reference points for the week ending June 19.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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