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icon for Quem será o campeão dos pesos leves do UFC no final de 2026?
Desporto·UFC

Quem será o campeão dos pesos leves do UFC no final de 2026?

icon for Quem será o campeão dos pesos leves do UFC no final de 2026?
Desporto·UFC

Quem será o campeão dos pesos leves do UFC no final de 2026?

Ilia Topuria 77%

Justin Gaethje 13.5%

Arman Tsarukyan 7.8%

Max Holloway 5.5%

Polymarket

$24,365 Vol.

Ilia Topuria 77%

Justin Gaethje 13.5%

Arman Tsarukyan 7.8%

Max Holloway 5.5%

Polymarket

$24,365 Vol.

Ilia Topuria

$7,810 Vol.

77%

Arman Tsarukyan

$2,473 Vol.

8%

Charles Oliveira

$1,992 Vol.

1%

Max Holloway

$1,619 Vol.

5%

Justin Gaethje

$2,822 Vol.

13%

Paddy Pimblett

$2,517 Vol.

<1%

Dan Hooker

$937 Vol.

1%

Mateusz Gamrot

$726 Vol.

<1%

Benoît Saint Denis

$1,454 Vol.

2%

Rafael Fiziev

$962 Vol.

<1%

Renato Moicano

$1,054 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Ilia Topuria commands the strongest market positioning as the reigning UFC Lightweight champion, driven by his undefeated streak, explosive knockout power, and successful transition from featherweight after dethroning Alexander Volkanovski. Traders view his youth, grappling control, and finishing ability as factors that could sustain multiple successful defenses through 2026 amid a competitive division. Max Holloway sits second due to his proven lightweight form, including a high-volume striking win over Justin Gaethje and veteran resilience, though age and the physical demands of the weight class create uncertainty. Justin Gaethje and Arman Tsarukyan occupy mid-tier spots reflecting strong recent performances and title contention potential, while Benoît Saint Denis and lower-ranked names trail based on limited experience at the elite level or inconsistent results. These implied probabilities capture the wisdom of crowds assessing current form, stylistic matchups, and paths to title contention.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$24,365
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Ilia Topuria commands the strongest market positioning as the reigning UFC Lightweight champion, driven by his undefeated streak, explosive knockout power, and successful transition from featherweight after dethroning Alexander Volkanovski. Traders view his youth, grappling control, and finishing ability as factors that could sustain multiple successful defenses through 2026 amid a competitive division. Max Holloway sits second due to his proven lightweight form, including a high-volume striking win over Justin Gaethje and veteran resilience, though age and the physical demands of the weight class create uncertainty. Justin Gaethje and Arman Tsarukyan occupy mid-tier spots reflecting strong recent performances and title contention potential, while Benoît Saint Denis and lower-ranked names trail based on limited experience at the elite level or inconsistent results. These implied probabilities capture the wisdom of crowds assessing current form, stylistic matchups, and paths to title contention.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$24,365
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem será o campeão dos pesos leves do UFC no final de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ilia Topuria" at 77%, followed by "Justin Gaethje" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 77¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem será o campeão dos pesos leves do UFC no final de 2026?" has generated $24.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem será o campeão dos pesos leves do UFC no final de 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem será o campeão dos pesos leves do UFC no final de 2026?" is "Ilia Topuria" at 77%, meaning the market assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Justin Gaethje" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem será o campeão dos pesos leves do UFC no final de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.