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icon for Quem será o campeão dos pesos leves do UFC no final de 2026?
Desporto·UFC

Quem será o campeão dos pesos leves do UFC no final de 2026?

icon for Quem será o campeão dos pesos leves do UFC no final de 2026?
Desporto·UFC

Quem será o campeão dos pesos leves do UFC no final de 2026?

Ilia Topuria 74%

Justin Gaethje 13.5%

Arman Tsarukyan 6.8%

Benoît Saint Denis 1.3%

Polymarket

$24,117 Vol.

Ilia Topuria 74%

Justin Gaethje 13.5%

Arman Tsarukyan 6.8%

Benoît Saint Denis 1.3%

Polymarket

$24,117 Vol.

Ilia Topuria

$7,805 Vol.

74%

Arman Tsarukyan

$2,469 Vol.

7%

Charles Oliveira

$1,988 Vol.

1%

Max Holloway

$1,402 Vol.

<1%

Justin Gaethje

$2,818 Vol.

13%

Paddy Pimblett

$2,512 Vol.

<1%

Dan Hooker

$937 Vol.

1%

Mateusz Gamrot

$726 Vol.

<1%

Benoît Saint Denis

$1,450 Vol.

1%

Rafael Fiziev

$962 Vol.

<1%

Renato Moicano

$1,050 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Ilia Topuria holds the strongest position in the UFC lightweight division as the undefeated champion entering a high-profile unification bout against interim titleholder Justin Gaethje on June 14. Topuria’s first-round knockout of Charles Oliveira last year, combined with his undefeated 17-0 record and recent return from a brief personal hiatus, underpins the market’s heavy consensus around his continued reign through year-end. Gaethje’s veteran experience and recent interim win over Paddy Pimblett position him as the clearest alternative, while Arman Tsarukyan and Benoît Saint Denis sit further back due to limited title contention activity. Traders appear to weigh Topuria’s stylistic advantages and activity plans for a potential late-2026 defense against the inherent volatility of the deep lightweight landscape.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$24,117
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Ilia Topuria holds the strongest position in the UFC lightweight division as the undefeated champion entering a high-profile unification bout against interim titleholder Justin Gaethje on June 14. Topuria’s first-round knockout of Charles Oliveira last year, combined with his undefeated 17-0 record and recent return from a brief personal hiatus, underpins the market’s heavy consensus around his continued reign through year-end. Gaethje’s veteran experience and recent interim win over Paddy Pimblett position him as the clearest alternative, while Arman Tsarukyan and Benoît Saint Denis sit further back due to limited title contention activity. Traders appear to weigh Topuria’s stylistic advantages and activity plans for a potential late-2026 defense against the inherent volatility of the deep lightweight landscape.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$24,117
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem será o campeão dos pesos leves do UFC no final de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ilia Topuria" at 74%, followed by "Justin Gaethje" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem será o campeão dos pesos leves do UFC no final de 2026?" has generated $24.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem será o campeão dos pesos leves do UFC no final de 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem será o campeão dos pesos leves do UFC no final de 2026?" is "Ilia Topuria" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Justin Gaethje" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem será o campeão dos pesos leves do UFC no final de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.