Carlos Alcaraz’s right-wrist tenosynovitis, sustained in April during the Barcelona Open, remains the dominant factor shaping the 61% implied probability he will compete at the 2026 U.S. Open. The defending champion has not played a competitive match since that event, missing the French Open, Wimbledon, and the Cincinnati Masters 1000 after withdrawing from the latter due to ongoing inflammation. Recent developments show gradual progress, including a return to full-intensity practice in mid-August and placement on the official entry list, though experts have cautioned against rushing into best-of-five sets without further tune-up matches. The Winston-Salem Open, beginning August 23, offers a final opportunity for match play before the hard-court major starts August 30. Trader consensus reflects both the extended layoff and positive fitness updates without confirmation of full clearance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado61% chance
$14,152 Vol.
$14,152 Vol.
61% chance
$14,152 Vol.
$14,152 Vol.
This market will resolve "Yes" if Carlos Alcaraz competes in at least one main-draw singles match at the 2026 US Open, scheduled for August 30, 2026 to September 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz’s right-wrist tenosynovitis, sustained in April during the Barcelona Open, remains the dominant factor shaping the 61% implied probability he will compete at the 2026 U.S. Open. The defending champion has not played a competitive match since that event, missing the French Open, Wimbledon, and the Cincinnati Masters 1000 after withdrawing from the latter due to ongoing inflammation. Recent developments show gradual progress, including a return to full-intensity practice in mid-August and placement on the official entry list, though experts have cautioned against rushing into best-of-five sets without further tune-up matches. The Winston-Salem Open, beginning August 23, offers a final opportunity for match play before the hard-court major starts August 30. Trader consensus reflects both the extended layoff and positive fitness updates without confirmation of full clearance.
This market will resolve "Yes" if Carlos Alcaraz competes in at least one main-draw singles match at the 2026 US Open, scheduled for August 30, 2026 to September 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 6, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$14,152Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if Carlos Alcaraz competes in at least one main-draw singles match at the 2026 US Open, scheduled for August 30, 2026 to September 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz’s right-wrist tenosynovitis, sustained in April during the Barcelona Open, remains the dominant factor shaping the 61% implied probability he will compete at the 2026 U.S. Open. The defending champion has not played a competitive match since that event, missing the French Open, Wimbledon, and the Cincinnati Masters 1000 after withdrawing from the latter due to ongoing inflammation. Recent developments show gradual progress, including a return to full-intensity practice in mid-August and placement on the official entry list, though experts have cautioned against rushing into best-of-five sets without further tune-up matches. The Winston-Salem Open, beginning August 23, offers a final opportunity for match play before the hard-court major starts August 30. Trader consensus reflects both the extended layoff and positive fitness updates without confirmation of full clearance.
This market will resolve "Yes" if Carlos Alcaraz competes in at least one main-draw singles match at the 2026 US Open, scheduled for August 30, 2026 to September 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$14,152Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Carlos Alcaraz’s right-wrist tenosynovitis, sustained in April during the Barcelona Open, remains the dominant factor shaping the 61% implied probability he will compete at the 2026 U.S. Open. The defending champion has not played a competitive match since that event, missing the French Open, Wimbledon, and the Cincinnati Masters 1000 after withdrawing from the latter due to ongoing inflammation. Recent developments show gradual progress, including a return to full-intensity practice in mid-August and placement on the official entry list, though experts have cautioned against rushing into best-of-five sets without further tune-up matches. The Winston-Salem Open, beginning August 23, offers a final opportunity for match play before the hard-court major starts August 30. Trader consensus reflects both the extended layoff and positive fitness updates without confirmation of full clearance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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