The 50% probability on Other reflects pre-tournament power rankings placing France, Spain, and England ahead of Argentina, Brazil, and Portugal, giving their stars stronger paths to deeper runs. Argentina's status as defending champions and deep squad bolsters Messi's implied probability near 40%, while Portugal's attacking depth and Ronaldo's experience keep his shares competitive at 39%. Neymar trails at 23.5% due to Brazil's mid-tier form, his recent injury recovery, and questions over consistent availability in a loaded group. Squad confirmations for all three players have stabilized recent sentiment without major shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMessi, Ronaldo ou Neymar avançarão mais longe na Copa do Mundo?
Lionel Messi 41%
Cristiano Ronaldo 40%
Neymar Jr. 24%
Lionel Messi
41%
Cristiano Ronaldo
40%
Neymar Jr.
24%
Lionel Messi 41%
Cristiano Ronaldo 40%
Neymar Jr. 24%
Lionel Messi
41%
Cristiano Ronaldo
40%
Neymar Jr.
24%
If multiple players' nations are tied for the furthest stage reached in the tournament, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose nation won the most total games during the main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who recorded the most goal contributions during the main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who received fewer total disciplinary cards during the main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup (each card counts as a singular event, double yellows resulting in red still count as two cards). If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player’s nation to be the furthest to advance in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which player’s nation advanced the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 3, 2026, 4:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If multiple players' nations are tied for the furthest stage reached in the tournament, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose nation won the most total games during the main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who recorded the most goal contributions during the main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who received fewer total disciplinary cards during the main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup (each card counts as a singular event, double yellows resulting in red still count as two cards). If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player’s nation to be the furthest to advance in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which player’s nation advanced the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 50% probability on Other reflects pre-tournament power rankings placing France, Spain, and England ahead of Argentina, Brazil, and Portugal, giving their stars stronger paths to deeper runs. Argentina's status as defending champions and deep squad bolsters Messi's implied probability near 40%, while Portugal's attacking depth and Ronaldo's experience keep his shares competitive at 39%. Neymar trails at 23.5% due to Brazil's mid-tier form, his recent injury recovery, and questions over consistent availability in a loaded group. Squad confirmations for all three players have stabilized recent sentiment without major shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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