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icon for Olivia Rodrigo vai lançar um novo álbum original do...?

Olivia Rodrigo vai lançar um novo álbum original do...?

icon for Olivia Rodrigo vai lançar um novo álbum original do...?

Olivia Rodrigo vai lançar um novo álbum original do...?

$13,622 Vol.

31 ago 2026
Polymarket

$13,622 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for 31 de agosto

31 de agosto

$13,622 Vol.

100%

icon for 12 de junho

12 de junho

$0 Vol.

35%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. Olivia Rodrigo’s confirmed June 12 release of her third studio album, “You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love,” stands as the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment. The April 2 announcement, complete with cover art, pre-order links, and a 13-track rollout via Geffen Records, followed months of studio updates and 2025 interview teases that 2026 would be a busy year for new material. With the Guts World Tour wrapped and a promotional single already in circulation, the project is now in active campaign mode, aligning with Rodrigo’s established pattern of delivering original full-lengths roughly every two to three years. The proximity of the date leaves little room for delays, though last-minute shifts in final mixes or marketing could still influence final positioning on charts and awards ballots.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Volume
$13,622
Data de Término
31 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 18, 2026, 5:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. Olivia Rodrigo’s confirmed June 12 release of her third studio album, “You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love,” stands as the dominant factor shaping trader sentiment. The April 2 announcement, complete with cover art, pre-order links, and a 13-track rollout via Geffen Records, followed months of studio updates and 2025 interview teases that 2026 would be a busy year for new material. With the Guts World Tour wrapped and a promotional single already in circulation, the project is now in active campaign mode, aligning with Rodrigo’s established pattern of delivering original full-lengths roughly every two to three years. The proximity of the date leaves little room for delays, though last-minute shifts in final mixes or marketing could still influence final positioning on charts and awards ballots.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Volume
$13,622
Data de Término
31 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 18, 2026, 5:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Olivia Rodrigo officially releases a new album between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Olivia Rodrigo vai lançar um novo álbum original do...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de agosto" at 100%, followed by "12 de junho" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Olivia Rodrigo vai lançar um novo álbum original do...?" has generated $13.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Olivia Rodrigo vai lançar um novo álbum original do...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Olivia Rodrigo vai lançar um novo álbum original do...?" is "31 de agosto" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "12 de junho" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Olivia Rodrigo vai lançar um novo álbum original do...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.