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Sports·Tennis

Wimbledon 2026: To Reach Fourth Round (Men’s Singles)

icon for Wimbledon 2026: To Reach Fourth Round (Men’s Singles)
Sports·Tennis

Wimbledon 2026: To Reach Fourth Round (Men’s Singles)

NOVO

$84,578 Vol.

5 jul 2026
Polymarket

$84,578 Vol.

Polymarket

Jannik Sinner

$270 Vol.

94%

Daniil Medvedev

$0 Vol.

86%

Ben Shelton

$308 Vol.

76%

Alexander Zverev

$0 Vol.

75%

Novak Djokovic

$0 Vol.

74%

Felix Auger-Aliassime

$48 Vol.

80%

Taylor Fritz

$207 Vol.

61%

Alex De Minaur

$0 Vol.

56%

Ignacio Buse

$395 Vol.

53%

Alex Michelsen

$0 Vol.

51%

Jiri Lehecka

$0 Vol.

51%

Kamil Majchrzak

$0 Vol.

49%

Tallon Griekspoor

$0 Vol.

49%

Mariano Navone

$0 Vol.

49%

Adrian Mannarino

$0 Vol.

49%

Soonwoo Kwon

$0 Vol.

49%

Billy Harris

$0 Vol.

48%

Jakub Mensik

$401 Vol.

48%

Hubert Hurkacz

$323 Vol.

45%

Ethan Quinn

$0 Vol.

39%

Frances Tiafoe

$0 Vol.

38%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

$0 Vol.

36%

Roman Safiullin

$0 Vol.

35%

Learner Tien

$0 Vol.

34%

Alexander Bublik

$0 Vol.

33%

Karen Khachanov

$0 Vol.

32%

Flavio Cobolli

$0 Vol.

29%

Arthur Fils

$0 Vol.

26%

Zizou Bergs

$40 Vol.

24%

Matteo Berrettini

$0 Vol.

24%

Ugo Humbert

$0 Vol.

24%

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

$0 Vol.

23%

Matteo Arnaldi

$0 Vol.

21%

Pablo Carreno Busta

$0 Vol.

21%

Grigor Dimitrov

$0 Vol.

20%

Thanasi Kokkinakis

$0 Vol.

19%

Stefanos Tsitsipas

$0 Vol.

19%

Alejandro Tabilo

$0 Vol.

19%

Fabian Marozsan

$0 Vol.

19%

Botic Van de Zandschulp

$0 Vol.

18%

Marton Fucsovics

$0 Vol.

16%

Shintaro Mochizuki

$0 Vol.

16%

Gabriel Diallo

$0 Vol.

15%

Michael Zheng

$0 Vol.

15%

Jacob Fearnley

$0 Vol.

14%

Benjamin Bonzi

$0 Vol.

14%

Lorenzo Sonego

$0 Vol.

13%

Jesper De Jong

$0 Vol.

13%

Jan-Lennard Struff

$0 Vol.

13%

Arthur Rinderknech

$0 Vol.

13%

Francisco Cerundolo

$25 Vol.

13%

Brandon Nakashima

$0 Vol.

13%

Nuno Borges

$0 Vol.

12%

Sebastian Ofner

$0 Vol.

12%

Rinky Hijikata

$40 Vol.

12%

Jan Choinski

$0 Vol.

12%

Alexei Popyrin

$0 Vol.

12%

Corentin Moutet

$0 Vol.

11%

Jack Pinnington Jones

$0 Vol.

11%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

$0 Vol.

11%

Terence Atmane

$0 Vol.

9%

Otto Virtanen

$0 Vol.

9%

Dino Prizmic

$0 Vol.

9%

Stan Wawrinka

$0 Vol.

9%

Quentin Halys

$0 Vol.

9%

Jenson Brooksby

$0 Vol.

9%

Marcos Giron

$0 Vol.

9%

Toby Samuel

$0 Vol.

8%

Zachary Svajda

$0 Vol.

8%

Daniel Altmaier

$0 Vol.

8%

Mackenzie McDonald

$0 Vol.

8%

Jaime Faria

$0 Vol.

8%

Raphael Collignon

$0 Vol.

7%

Nicolas Mejia

$0 Vol.

7%

Arthur Fery

$0 Vol.

7%

Daniel Merida

$0 Vol.

7%

Martin Damm

$0 Vol.

7%

Titouan Droguet

$0 Vol.

7%

Alexander Blockx

$0 Vol.

7%

Dane Sweeny

$0 Vol.

7%

Roman Andres Burruchaga

$0 Vol.

7%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

$0 Vol.

7%

Yannick Hanfmann

$0 Vol.

7%

Vilius Gaubas

$0 Vol.

6%

Alex Molcan

$0 Vol.

6%

Damir Dzumhur

$0 Vol.

6%

Kyrian Jacquet

$0 Vol.

6%

Jaume Munar

$0 Vol.

6%

Harry Wendelken

$0 Vol.

6%

Valentin Royer

$0 Vol.

6%

Sho Shimabukuro

$0 Vol.

6%

James Duckworth

$0 Vol.

6%

Patrick Kypson

$0 Vol.

5%

Vit Kopriva

$0 Vol.

4%

Tommy Paul

$65 Vol.

52%

Rafael Jodar

$175 Vol.

50%

Joao Fonseca

$160 Vol.

52%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Fourth Round (Round of 16) in the Championships at Wimbledon per Wimbledon rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Fourth Round (Round of 16) in the Championships at Wimbledon (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled, postponed after July 26, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Fourth Round (Round of 16) have not been officially confirmed by Wimbledon within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner enters as the clear favorite to advance deep, buoyed by his world No. 1 ranking and strong recent results despite a French Open setback, while Novak Djokovic and Alexander Zverev bring proven grass-court pedigrees and major titles. Key variables include draw positioning, with several top seeds facing early tests against in-form opponents, and injury concerns that have already sidelined Carlos Alcaraz and forced withdrawals like Jack Draper. Players with extensive Wimbledon experience or recent grass success hold edges in adapting to fast surfaces and variable weather, whereas younger contenders like Ben Shelton or Jakub Mensik must navigate potential upsets in the opening rounds to secure round-of-16 spots. Trader consensus reflects these form, matchup, and health factors heading into the June 29 start.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Fourth Round (Round of 16) in the Championships at Wimbledon per Wimbledon rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Fourth Round (Round of 16) in the Championships at Wimbledon (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled, postponed after July 26, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Fourth Round (Round of 16) have not been officially confirmed by Wimbledon within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$84,578
Data de Término
5 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 29, 2026, 11:29 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Fourth Round (Round of 16) in the Championships at Wimbledon per Wimbledon rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Fourth Round (Round of 16) in the Championships at Wimbledon (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled, postponed after July 26, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Fourth Round (Round of 16) have not been officially confirmed by Wimbledon within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Fourth Round (Round of 16) in the Championships at Wimbledon per Wimbledon rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Fourth Round (Round of 16) in the Championships at Wimbledon (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled, postponed after July 26, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Fourth Round (Round of 16) have not been officially confirmed by Wimbledon within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner enters as the clear favorite to advance deep, buoyed by his world No. 1 ranking and strong recent results despite a French Open setback, while Novak Djokovic and Alexander Zverev bring proven grass-court pedigrees and major titles. Key variables include draw positioning, with several top seeds facing early tests against in-form opponents, and injury concerns that have already sidelined Carlos Alcaraz and forced withdrawals like Jack Draper. Players with extensive Wimbledon experience or recent grass success hold edges in adapting to fast surfaces and variable weather, whereas younger contenders like Ben Shelton or Jakub Mensik must navigate potential upsets in the opening rounds to secure round-of-16 spots. Trader consensus reflects these form, matchup, and health factors heading into the June 29 start.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Fourth Round (Round of 16) in the Championships at Wimbledon per Wimbledon rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Fourth Round (Round of 16) in the Championships at Wimbledon (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled, postponed after July 26, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Fourth Round (Round of 16) have not been officially confirmed by Wimbledon within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$84,578
Data de Término
5 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 29, 2026, 11:29 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Fourth Round (Round of 16) in the Championships at Wimbledon per Wimbledon rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Fourth Round (Round of 16) in the Championships at Wimbledon (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled, postponed after July 26, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Fourth Round (Round of 16) have not been officially confirmed by Wimbledon within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Wimbledon 2026: To Reach Fourth Round (Men’s Singles)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 128+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jannik Sinner" at 94%, followed by "Daniil Medvedev" at 86%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Wimbledon 2026: To Reach Fourth Round (Men’s Singles)" has generated $84.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Wimbledon 2026: To Reach Fourth Round (Men’s Singles)," browse the 128+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Wimbledon 2026: To Reach Fourth Round (Men’s Singles)" is "Jannik Sinner" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Daniil Medvedev" at 86%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Wimbledon 2026: To Reach Fourth Round (Men’s Singles)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.