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icon for Вспомните предложение о реформе выборов в Калифорнии

Вспомните предложение о реформе выборов в Калифорнии

icon for Вспомните предложение о реформе выборов в Калифорнии

Вспомните предложение о реформе выборов в Калифорнии

Да

0% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Да

0% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
Proposition 5 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would eliminate the election to pick a successor immediately after a recall. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).California Proposition 5 would amend the state constitution to eliminate the simultaneous successor election on recall ballots for statewide officers, leaving any vacancy to be filled later under existing law while permitting the recalled official to run again. The measure, referred by the legislature, appears on the November 3, 2026 ballot amid broader debates over recall mechanics following past high-profile contests. Organized support from groups such as the League of Women Voters and Common Cause emphasizes procedural simplification and reduced costs, while opponents including election-integrity organizations argue it weakens voter accountability by removing the replacement choice. With the voter guide recently released and no dominant polling shifts in recent months, trader pricing reflects the closely divided landscape and typical hurdles for constitutional changes.

Proposition 5 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would eliminate the election to pick a successor immediately after a recall.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Объем
$20
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
Proposition 5 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would eliminate the election to pick a successor immediately after a recall. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Proposition 5 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would eliminate the election to pick a successor immediately after a recall. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).California Proposition 5 would amend the state constitution to eliminate the simultaneous successor election on recall ballots for statewide officers, leaving any vacancy to be filled later under existing law while permitting the recalled official to run again. The measure, referred by the legislature, appears on the November 3, 2026 ballot amid broader debates over recall mechanics following past high-profile contests. Organized support from groups such as the League of Women Voters and Common Cause emphasizes procedural simplification and reduced costs, while opponents including election-integrity organizations argue it weakens voter accountability by removing the replacement choice. With the voter guide recently released and no dominant polling shifts in recent months, trader pricing reflects the closely divided landscape and typical hurdles for constitutional changes.

Proposition 5 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would eliminate the election to pick a successor immediately after a recall.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Объем
$20
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
Proposition 5 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would eliminate the election to pick a successor immediately after a recall. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).

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«Вспомните предложение о реформе выборов в Калифорнии» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Калифорнийское предложение о реформе процедуры отзыва» с 41%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 41¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 41%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

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Текущий фаворит для «Вспомните предложение о реформе выборов в Калифорнии» — «Калифорнийское предложение о реформе процедуры отзыва» с 41%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 41%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Вспомните предложение о реформе выборов в Калифорнии» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.