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icon for Предложение о финансировании общественной кампании в Калифорнии

Предложение о финансировании общественной кампании в Калифорнии

icon for Предложение о финансировании общественной кампании в Калифорнии

Предложение о финансировании общественной кампании в Калифорнии

Да

42% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Да

42% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
Proposition 4 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would give California governments the authority to set up public financing systems for state and local political candidates. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).California Proposition 4, referred to the November 3, 2026 ballot via SB 42, would repeal the state's 1988 ban on public campaign financing and authorize state and local governments to design optional programs with eligibility thresholds, spending limits, and safeguards against using funds for legal costs or candidate loans. Reform organizations including the League of Women Voters of California, Common Cause, and labor groups have formed a support committee, though early fundraising remains modest with no organized opposition committee reported. Trader consensus favoring rejection at 58.5% reflects typical California voter skepticism toward ballot measures that authorize taxpayer resources for political campaigns, even when structured as permissive rather than mandatory, alongside the broader context of competing propositions and limited polling visibility close to the election.

Proposition 4 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would give California governments the authority to set up public financing systems for state and local political candidates.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 6:31 PM ET
Proposition 4 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would give California governments the authority to set up public financing systems for state and local political candidates. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Proposition 4 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would give California governments the authority to set up public financing systems for state and local political candidates. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).California Proposition 4, referred to the November 3, 2026 ballot via SB 42, would repeal the state's 1988 ban on public campaign financing and authorize state and local governments to design optional programs with eligibility thresholds, spending limits, and safeguards against using funds for legal costs or candidate loans. Reform organizations including the League of Women Voters of California, Common Cause, and labor groups have formed a support committee, though early fundraising remains modest with no organized opposition committee reported. Trader consensus favoring rejection at 58.5% reflects typical California voter skepticism toward ballot measures that authorize taxpayer resources for political campaigns, even when structured as permissive rather than mandatory, alongside the broader context of competing propositions and limited polling visibility close to the election.

Proposition 4 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would give California governments the authority to set up public financing systems for state and local political candidates.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 6:31 PM ET
Proposition 4 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would give California governments the authority to set up public financing systems for state and local political candidates. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).

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Текущий фаворит для «Предложение о финансировании общественной кампании в Калифорнии» — «Калифорнийское предложение о государственном финансировании избирательных кампаний» с 42%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 42%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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