Recent August 2026 polls show National and Labour locked in a tight contest for first and second place, with rolling averages placing both near 30% and several surveys alternating narrow leads between them. Labour edged ahead in the latest Talbot Mills and 1News-Verian results, while National held slim advantages in others, reflecting voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent National-led coalition amid economic pressures and Christopher Luxon’s recent leadership vote survival. The rise of the Opportunity party and shifts among NZ First, Greens, ACT, and Te Pāti Māori have fragmented minor-party support without threatening the top two positions. Traders price National as slightly more likely to finish second, consistent with the mixed polling and the structural tendency for one of the two major parties to occupy first and second.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNew Zealand Election: 2nd Place
New Zealand Election: 2nd Place
National Party 50%
Labour Party 42%
New Zealand First Party <1%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
$17,849 Объем
$17,849 Объем
7 нояб. 2026 г.
National Party
49%
Labour Party
42%
New Zealand First Party
1%
Te Pāti Māori
1%
Green Party
<1%
ACT New Zealand
<1%
National Party 50%
Labour Party 42%
New Zealand First Party <1%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
$17,849 Объем
$17,849 Объем
7 нояб. 2026 г.
National Party
$8,814 Объем
49%
Labour Party
$4,789 Объем
42%
New Zealand First Party
$1,262 Объем
1%
Te Pāti Māori
$1,199 Объем
1%
Green Party
$542 Объем
<1%
ACT New Zealand
$1,243 Объем
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent August 2026 polls show National and Labour locked in a tight contest for first and second place, with rolling averages placing both near 30% and several surveys alternating narrow leads between them. Labour edged ahead in the latest Talbot Mills and 1News-Verian results, while National held slim advantages in others, reflecting voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent National-led coalition amid economic pressures and Christopher Luxon’s recent leadership vote survival. The rise of the Opportunity party and shifts among NZ First, Greens, ACT, and Te Pāti Māori have fragmented minor-party support without threatening the top two positions. Traders price National as slightly more likely to finish second, consistent with the mixed polling and the structural tendency for one of the two major parties to occupy first and second.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Открытие рынка: Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
Объем
$17,849Дата окончания
7 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent August 2026 polls show National and Labour locked in a tight contest for first and second place, with rolling averages placing both near 30% and several surveys alternating narrow leads between them. Labour edged ahead in the latest Talbot Mills and 1News-Verian results, while National held slim advantages in others, reflecting voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent National-led coalition amid economic pressures and Christopher Luxon’s recent leadership vote survival. The rise of the Opportunity party and shifts among NZ First, Greens, ACT, and Te Pāti Māori have fragmented minor-party support without threatening the top two positions. Traders price National as slightly more likely to finish second, consistent with the mixed polling and the structural tendency for one of the two major parties to occupy first and second.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Объем
$17,849Дата окончания
7 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August 2026 polls show National and Labour locked in a tight contest for first and second place, with rolling averages placing both near 30% and several surveys alternating narrow leads between them. Labour edged ahead in the latest Talbot Mills and 1News-Verian results, while National held slim advantages in others, reflecting voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent National-led coalition amid economic pressures and Christopher Luxon’s recent leadership vote survival. The rise of the Opportunity party and shifts among NZ First, Greens, ACT, and Te Pāti Māori have fragmented minor-party support without threatening the top two positions. Traders price National as slightly more likely to finish second, consistent with the mixed polling and the structural tendency for one of the two major parties to occupy first and second.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
53%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
55%
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)
59%
Labour
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