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icon for Предложение о повышении порога голосования по местному налогу в Калифорнии

Предложение о повышении порога голосования по местному налогу в Калифорнии

icon for Предложение о повышении порога голосования по местному налогу в Калифорнии

Предложение о повышении порога голосования по местному налогу в Калифорнии

Да

35% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Да

35% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
Proposition 43 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would raise the threshold for citizen-driven special tax ballot initiatives to pass from a simple majority to two-thirds, making it harder to impose or increase taxes. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).**Proposition 43, a legislatively referred constitutional amendment on the November 2026 ballot, would require a two-thirds voter approval for citizen-initiated local special taxes—aligning them with government-referred measures—and include related property tax restrictions.** Recent polling from the Public Policy Institute of California shows only 39% support for the local tax limitations among likely voters, with deep partisan divides. The measure emerged from a June 2026 legislative compromise after the Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association withdrew a stricter initiative, drawing backing from taxpayer protection groups while facing opposition from organizations focused on funding schools, transit, housing, and emergency services. In a state where Democrats hold supermajorities and many local revenue measures historically pass with simple majorities, the implied probability favoring rejection reflects the competitive environment and limited early momentum for raising the threshold. The election remains the key resolution point.

Proposition 43 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would raise the threshold for citizen-driven special tax ballot initiatives to pass from a simple majority to two-thirds, making it harder to impose or increase taxes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Объем
$3,017
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Proposition 43 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would raise the threshold for citizen-driven special tax ballot initiatives to pass from a simple majority to two-thirds, making it harder to impose or increase taxes. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Proposition 43 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would raise the threshold for citizen-driven special tax ballot initiatives to pass from a simple majority to two-thirds, making it harder to impose or increase taxes. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).**Proposition 43, a legislatively referred constitutional amendment on the November 2026 ballot, would require a two-thirds voter approval for citizen-initiated local special taxes—aligning them with government-referred measures—and include related property tax restrictions.** Recent polling from the Public Policy Institute of California shows only 39% support for the local tax limitations among likely voters, with deep partisan divides. The measure emerged from a June 2026 legislative compromise after the Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association withdrew a stricter initiative, drawing backing from taxpayer protection groups while facing opposition from organizations focused on funding schools, transit, housing, and emergency services. In a state where Democrats hold supermajorities and many local revenue measures historically pass with simple majorities, the implied probability favoring rejection reflects the competitive environment and limited early momentum for raising the threshold. The election remains the key resolution point.

Proposition 43 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would raise the threshold for citizen-driven special tax ballot initiatives to pass from a simple majority to two-thirds, making it harder to impose or increase taxes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Объем
$3,017
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Proposition 43 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would raise the threshold for citizen-driven special tax ballot initiatives to pass from a simple majority to two-thirds, making it harder to impose or increase taxes. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).

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