Discord’s recent operational stability has anchored trader consensus at an 87% implied probability that no critical (red) incident will hit by June 30. The platform’s status page has logged zero red-level events throughout June, with only quick-resolving minor API hiccups earlier in the spring, mirroring the quiet periods that led similar April and May markets to resolve “No.” Routine patch updates focused on reliability continue without announced maintenance windows or widespread user complaints, leaving little room for a sudden escalation in the remaining three weeks. Historical patterns of Discord handling peak loads without crossing critical thresholds reinforce the current market view.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCritical Discord Incident by June 30?
Critical Discord Incident by June 30?
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2026 г.
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.Discord’s recent operational stability has anchored trader consensus at an 87% implied probability that no critical (red) incident will hit by June 30. The platform’s status page has logged zero red-level events throughout June, with only quick-resolving minor API hiccups earlier in the spring, mirroring the quiet periods that led similar April and May markets to resolve “No.” Routine patch updates focused on reliability continue without announced maintenance windows or widespread user complaints, leaving little room for a sudden escalation in the remaining three weeks. Historical patterns of Discord handling peak loads without crossing critical thresholds reinforce the current market view.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Открытие рынка: May 26, 2026, 6:34 PM ET
Объем
$1,986Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 26, 2026, 6:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.Discord’s recent operational stability has anchored trader consensus at an 87% implied probability that no critical (red) incident will hit by June 30. The platform’s status page has logged zero red-level events throughout June, with only quick-resolving minor API hiccups earlier in the spring, mirroring the quiet periods that led similar April and May markets to resolve “No.” Routine patch updates focused on reliability continue without announced maintenance windows or widespread user complaints, leaving little room for a sudden escalation in the remaining three weeks. Historical patterns of Discord handling peak loads without crossing critical thresholds reinforce the current market view.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Объем
$1,986Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 26, 2026, 6:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Discord’s recent operational stability has anchored trader consensus at an 87% implied probability that no critical (red) incident will hit by June 30. The platform’s status page has logged zero red-level events throughout June, with only quick-resolving minor API hiccups earlier in the spring, mirroring the quiet periods that led similar April and May markets to resolve “No.” Routine patch updates focused on reliability continue without announced maintenance windows or widespread user complaints, leaving little room for a sudden escalation in the remaining three weeks. Historical patterns of Discord handling peak loads without crossing critical thresholds reinforce the current market view.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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