Finland’s frontrunner status with “Liekinheitin” has kept the margin-of-victory market tightly bunched, with 25-49 points priced at 32.5% and sub-25 points at 29.5%. Strong televote potential from Australia’s Delta Goodrem and jury appeal from Greece and Denmark create a competitive three-way dynamic that historically compresses the winning margin. Rehearsals in Vienna show Finland’s high-energy staging holding a narrow edge, yet late jury adjustments or a surprise semi-final qualifier could easily shrink the gap below 25 points or stretch it into the 50-74 range. Traders are pricing the outcome as a toss-up between a modest victory and a photo-finish rather than a blowout.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоEurovision 2026: Margin of Victory
Eurovision 2026: Margin of Victory
25-49 33%
<25 30%
50-74 23%
75-99 10%
$39,731 Объем
$39,731 Объем
16 мая 2026 г.
<25
30%
25-49
33%
50-74
23%
75-99
10%
100-124
4%
125-149
2%
150+
3%
25-49 33%
<25 30%
50-74 23%
75-99 10%
$39,731 Объем
$39,731 Объем
16 мая 2026 г.
<25
$16,048 Объем
30%
25-49
$7,204 Объем
33%
50-74
$2,968 Объем
23%
75-99
$3,830 Объем
10%
100-124
$3,211 Объем
4%
125-149
$2,746 Объем
2%
150+
$3,725 Объем
3%
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland’s frontrunner status with “Liekinheitin” has kept the margin-of-victory market tightly bunched, with 25-49 points priced at 32.5% and sub-25 points at 29.5%. Strong televote potential from Australia’s Delta Goodrem and jury appeal from Greece and Denmark create a competitive three-way dynamic that historically compresses the winning margin. Rehearsals in Vienna show Finland’s high-energy staging holding a narrow edge, yet late jury adjustments or a surprise semi-final qualifier could easily shrink the gap below 25 points or stretch it into the 50-74 range. Traders are pricing the outcome as a toss-up between a modest victory and a photo-finish rather than a blowout.
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
Объем
$39,731Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland’s frontrunner status with “Liekinheitin” has kept the margin-of-victory market tightly bunched, with 25-49 points priced at 32.5% and sub-25 points at 29.5%. Strong televote potential from Australia’s Delta Goodrem and jury appeal from Greece and Denmark create a competitive three-way dynamic that historically compresses the winning margin. Rehearsals in Vienna show Finland’s high-energy staging holding a narrow edge, yet late jury adjustments or a surprise semi-final qualifier could easily shrink the gap below 25 points or stretch it into the 50-74 range. Traders are pricing the outcome as a toss-up between a modest victory and a photo-finish rather than a blowout.
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Объем
$39,731Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Finland’s frontrunner status with “Liekinheitin” has kept the margin-of-victory market tightly bunched, with 25-49 points priced at 32.5% and sub-25 points at 29.5%. Strong televote potential from Australia’s Delta Goodrem and jury appeal from Greece and Denmark create a competitive three-way dynamic that historically compresses the winning margin. Rehearsals in Vienna show Finland’s high-energy staging holding a narrow edge, yet late jury adjustments or a surprise semi-final qualifier could easily shrink the gap below 25 points or stretch it into the 50-74 range. Traders are pricing the outcome as a toss-up between a modest victory and a photo-finish rather than a blowout.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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