Australia's commanding lead in the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final stems from Delta Goodrem's polished, emotionally resonant performance of "Eclipse," which leveraged her established star power and broad voter appeal to build overwhelming trader consensus. Recent rehearsals and the live semi-final showcase highlighted strong staging and vocal delivery that outpaced competitors, pushing implied probabilities above 70%. Bulgaria's Dara with "Bangaranga" holds a solid second place on the back of energetic production and televote potential, while Ukraine, Romania, and the rest trail due to more niche or inconsistent reception in the semi-final running order. With the final approaching, any late jury adjustments or streaming spikes could still shift momentum among the qualifiers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоEurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner
Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner
Australia 75%
Bulgaria 20.1%
Ukraine 3.7%
Romania 2.6%
$218,229 Объем
$218,229 Объем
12 мая 2026 г.
Australia
75%
Bulgaria
20%
Ukraine
4%
Romania
3%
Norway
1%
Denmark
1%
Czechia
1%
Albania
1%
Cyprus
<1%
Malta
<1%
Australia 75%
Bulgaria 20.1%
Ukraine 3.7%
Romania 2.6%
$218,229 Объем
$218,229 Объем
12 мая 2026 г.
Australia
$44,885 Объем
75%
Bulgaria
$16,179 Объем
20%
Ukraine
$14,416 Объем
4%
Romania
$17,958 Объем
3%
Norway
$9,016 Объем
1%
Denmark
$47,505 Объем
1%
Czechia
$9,803 Объем
1%
Albania
$9,119 Объем
1%
Cyprus
$6,922 Объем
<1%
Malta
$8,110 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Australia's commanding lead in the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final stems from Delta Goodrem's polished, emotionally resonant performance of "Eclipse," which leveraged her established star power and broad voter appeal to build overwhelming trader consensus. Recent rehearsals and the live semi-final showcase highlighted strong staging and vocal delivery that outpaced competitors, pushing implied probabilities above 70%. Bulgaria's Dara with "Bangaranga" holds a solid second place on the back of energetic production and televote potential, while Ukraine, Romania, and the rest trail due to more niche or inconsistent reception in the semi-final running order. With the final approaching, any late jury adjustments or streaming spikes could still shift momentum among the qualifiers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
Объем
$218,229Дата окончания
12 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Australia's commanding lead in the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final stems from Delta Goodrem's polished, emotionally resonant performance of "Eclipse," which leveraged her established star power and broad voter appeal to build overwhelming trader consensus. Recent rehearsals and the live semi-final showcase highlighted strong staging and vocal delivery that outpaced competitors, pushing implied probabilities above 70%. Bulgaria's Dara with "Bangaranga" holds a solid second place on the back of energetic production and televote potential, while Ukraine, Romania, and the rest trail due to more niche or inconsistent reception in the semi-final running order. With the final approaching, any late jury adjustments or streaming spikes could still shift momentum among the qualifiers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Объем
$218,229Дата окончания
12 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Australia's commanding lead in the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final stems from Delta Goodrem's polished, emotionally resonant performance of "Eclipse," which leveraged her established star power and broad voter appeal to build overwhelming trader consensus. Recent rehearsals and the live semi-final showcase highlighted strong staging and vocal delivery that outpaced competitors, pushing implied probabilities above 70%. Bulgaria's Dara with "Bangaranga" holds a solid second place on the back of energetic production and televote potential, while Ukraine, Romania, and the rest trail due to more niche or inconsistent reception in the semi-final running order. With the final approaching, any late jury adjustments or streaming spikes could still shift momentum among the qualifiers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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