Bulgaria has surged to frontrunner status in the Eurovision 2026 second semi-final winner market thanks to standout rehearsals and a commanding live performance of “Bangaranga” that delivered high-energy staging and vocal strength, cementing trader consensus around its implied 56.2% probability. Australia’s Delta Goodrem sits second at 26.0% after a polished, professional delivery of “Eclipse” that earned strong reviews but trailed Bulgaria in perceived voter impact. Denmark, Romania, Ukraine, and the remaining qualifiers trail at single-digit or lower odds following the May 14 semi-final in Vienna, where clear separation emerged in post-show sentiment and historical voting patterns favoring well-staged, memorable entries. With results expected to lock in shortly, momentum has stabilized around the top two while lower-placed acts face steep barriers from weaker comparative reception.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоEurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner
Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner
Bulgaria 84.4%
Australia 7%
Romania 3.5%
Denmark 1.5%
$225,717 Объем
$225,717 Объем
12 мая 2026 г.
Bulgaria
84%
Australia
10%
Romania
3%
Denmark
2%
Czechia
1%
Ukraine
1%
Albania
<1%
Norway
<1%
Cyprus
<1%
Malta
<1%
Bulgaria 84.4%
Australia 7%
Romania 3.5%
Denmark 1.5%
$225,717 Объем
$225,717 Объем
12 мая 2026 г.
Bulgaria
$19,236 Объем
84%
Australia
$47,068 Объем
10%
Romania
$19,242 Объем
3%
Denmark
$47,938 Объем
2%
Czechia
$9,803 Объем
1%
Ukraine
$15,334 Объем
1%
Albania
$9,119 Объем
<1%
Norway
$9,016 Объем
<1%
Cyprus
$6,922 Объем
<1%
Malta
$8,115 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Bulgaria has surged to frontrunner status in the Eurovision 2026 second semi-final winner market thanks to standout rehearsals and a commanding live performance of “Bangaranga” that delivered high-energy staging and vocal strength, cementing trader consensus around its implied 56.2% probability. Australia’s Delta Goodrem sits second at 26.0% after a polished, professional delivery of “Eclipse” that earned strong reviews but trailed Bulgaria in perceived voter impact. Denmark, Romania, Ukraine, and the remaining qualifiers trail at single-digit or lower odds following the May 14 semi-final in Vienna, where clear separation emerged in post-show sentiment and historical voting patterns favoring well-staged, memorable entries. With results expected to lock in shortly, momentum has stabilized around the top two while lower-placed acts face steep barriers from weaker comparative reception.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
Объем
$225,717Дата окончания
12 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Bulgaria has surged to frontrunner status in the Eurovision 2026 second semi-final winner market thanks to standout rehearsals and a commanding live performance of “Bangaranga” that delivered high-energy staging and vocal strength, cementing trader consensus around its implied 56.2% probability. Australia’s Delta Goodrem sits second at 26.0% after a polished, professional delivery of “Eclipse” that earned strong reviews but trailed Bulgaria in perceived voter impact. Denmark, Romania, Ukraine, and the remaining qualifiers trail at single-digit or lower odds following the May 14 semi-final in Vienna, where clear separation emerged in post-show sentiment and historical voting patterns favoring well-staged, memorable entries. With results expected to lock in shortly, momentum has stabilized around the top two while lower-placed acts face steep barriers from weaker comparative reception.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Объем
$225,717Дата окончания
12 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Bulgaria has surged to frontrunner status in the Eurovision 2026 second semi-final winner market thanks to standout rehearsals and a commanding live performance of “Bangaranga” that delivered high-energy staging and vocal strength, cementing trader consensus around its implied 56.2% probability. Australia’s Delta Goodrem sits second at 26.0% after a polished, professional delivery of “Eclipse” that earned strong reviews but trailed Bulgaria in perceived voter impact. Denmark, Romania, Ukraine, and the remaining qualifiers trail at single-digit or lower odds following the May 14 semi-final in Vienna, where clear separation emerged in post-show sentiment and historical voting patterns favoring well-staged, memorable entries. With results expected to lock in shortly, momentum has stabilized around the top two while lower-placed acts face steep barriers from weaker comparative reception.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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