Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin" commands a 43.9% implied probability as the clear frontrunner, bolstered by their UMK national final triumph, OGAE fan poll victory last week, and a fiery First Semi-Final performance yesterday that secured qualification with cinematic staging and rare EBU-approved live violin. Greece's Akylas vaulted to 14% after topping SF1 televote with the anthemic "Ferto," addressing greed and excess, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund clings to 12.5% on strong Melodi Grand Prix momentum and jury appeal for "Før vi går hjem" ahead of tomorrow's Second Semi-Final. With the Grand Final on May 16, jury-televote splits and SF2 qualifiers could spark shifts in this trader consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель Евровидения 2026
Победитель Евровидения 2026
Финляндия 43.9%
Греция 14.0%
Дания 12.5%
Австралия 5.7%
$157,927,220 Объем
$157,927,220 Объем
16 мая 2026 г.
Финляндия
44%
Греция
14%
Дания
13%
Австралия
6%
Израиль
5%
Франция
5%
Румыния
4%
Италия
2%
Молдова
1%
Украина
1%
Хорватия
1%
Болгария
1%
Мальта
1%
Швеция
1%
Чехия
1%
Кипр
1%
Албания
<1%
Норвегия
<1%
Сербия
<1%
Люксембург
<1%
Польша
<1%
Австрия
<1%
Германия
<1%
Латвия
<1%
Армения
<1%
Литва
<1%
Швейцария
<1%
Соединённое Королевство
<1%
Бельгия
<1%
Азербайджан
<1%
Финляндия 43.9%
Греция 14.0%
Дания 12.5%
Австралия 5.7%
$157,927,220 Объем
$157,927,220 Объем
16 мая 2026 г.
Финляндия
$4,646,685 Объем
44%
Греция
$3,900,792 Объем
14%
Дания
$2,428,026 Объем
13%
Австралия
$2,587,910 Объем
6%
Израиль
$2,989,245 Объем
5%
Франция
$3,196,133 Объем
5%
Румыния
$2,711,743 Объем
4%
Италия
$3,734,192 Объем
2%
Молдова
$4,178,455 Объем
1%
Украина
$2,806,944 Объем
1%
Хорватия
$4,504,017 Объем
1%
Болгария
$3,081,711 Объем
1%
Мальта
$2,980,701 Объем
1%
Швеция
$2,147,372 Объем
1%
Чехия
$2,294,471 Объем
1%
Кипр
$2,745,953 Объем
1%
Албания
$6,753,811 Объем
<1%
Норвегия
$4,471,310 Объем
<1%
Сербия
$5,580,065 Объем
<1%
Люксембург
$3,755,279 Объем
<1%
Польша
$6,438,500 Объем
<1%
Австрия
$7,250,298 Объем
<1%
Германия
$3,373,556 Объем
<1%
Латвия
$5,799,045 Объем
<1%
Армения
$6,513,635 Объем
<1%
Литва
$5,259,907 Объем
<1%
Швейцария
$5,743,153 Объем
<1%
Соединённое Королевство
$3,585,075 Объем
<1%
Бельгия
$5,058,172 Объем
<1%
Азербайджан
$6,700,567 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin" commands a 43.9% implied probability as the clear frontrunner, bolstered by their UMK national final triumph, OGAE fan poll victory last week, and a fiery First Semi-Final performance yesterday that secured qualification with cinematic staging and rare EBU-approved live violin. Greece's Akylas vaulted to 14% after topping SF1 televote with the anthemic "Ferto," addressing greed and excess, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund clings to 12.5% on strong Melodi Grand Prix momentum and jury appeal for "Før vi går hjem" ahead of tomorrow's Second Semi-Final. With the Grand Final on May 16, jury-televote splits and SF2 qualifiers could spark shifts in this trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Объем
$157,927,220Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin" commands a 43.9% implied probability as the clear frontrunner, bolstered by their UMK national final triumph, OGAE fan poll victory last week, and a fiery First Semi-Final performance yesterday that secured qualification with cinematic staging and rare EBU-approved live violin. Greece's Akylas vaulted to 14% after topping SF1 televote with the anthemic "Ferto," addressing greed and excess, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund clings to 12.5% on strong Melodi Grand Prix momentum and jury appeal for "Før vi går hjem" ahead of tomorrow's Second Semi-Final. With the Grand Final on May 16, jury-televote splits and SF2 qualifiers could spark shifts in this trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Объем
$157,927,220Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin" commands a 43.9% implied probability as the clear frontrunner, bolstered by their UMK national final triumph, OGAE fan poll victory last week, and a fiery First Semi-Final performance yesterday that secured qualification with cinematic staging and rare EBU-approved live violin. Greece's Akylas vaulted to 14% after topping SF1 televote with the anthemic "Ferto," addressing greed and excess, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund clings to 12.5% on strong Melodi Grand Prix momentum and jury appeal for "Før vi går hjem" ahead of tomorrow's Second Semi-Final. With the Grand Final on May 16, jury-televote splits and SF2 qualifiers could spark shifts in this trader consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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