Kimi Antonelli enters the 2026 Azerbaijan Grand Prix as the clear market leader at 43.5% implied probability, driven by his dominant championship form with eight wins and a substantial points cushion over Mercedes teammate George Russell. The Baku City Circuit's long straights, tight street sections, and history of safety car interventions and multiple winners create volatility that caps any single driver's odds and supports competitive pricing for Norris, Russell, Verstappen, Leclerc, and Hamilton in the 8.5–19.5% range. Recent reliability discussions around the Mercedes package and the Saturday race format add uncertainty, while the track's overtaking opportunities on the main straight keep underdogs viable despite Antonelli's strong recent results in Monza and Madrid.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоKimi Antonelli 44%
Lando Norris 20%
George Russell 11%
Max Verstappen 10%
Kimi Antonelli
44%
Lando Norris
20%
George Russell
11%
Max Verstappen
10%
Charles Leclerc
9%
Lewis Hamilton
9%
Oscar Piastri
3%
Yuki Tsunoda
1%
Isack Hadjar
1%
Liam Lawson
1%
Pierre Gasly
1%
Fernando Alonso
1%
Alexander Albon
1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
Esteban Ocon
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
1%
Nico Hulkenberg
1%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Oliver Bearman
1%
Arvid Lindblad
1%
Lance Stroll
1%
Kimi Antonelli 44%
Lando Norris 20%
George Russell 11%
Max Verstappen 10%
Kimi Antonelli
44%
Lando Norris
20%
George Russell
11%
Max Verstappen
10%
Charles Leclerc
9%
Lewis Hamilton
9%
Oscar Piastri
3%
Yuki Tsunoda
1%
Isack Hadjar
1%
Liam Lawson
1%
Pierre Gasly
1%
Fernando Alonso
1%
Alexander Albon
1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
Esteban Ocon
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
1%
Nico Hulkenberg
1%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Oliver Bearman
1%
Arvid Lindblad
1%
Lance Stroll
1%
If the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 3, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 3, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Kimi Antonelli enters the 2026 Azerbaijan Grand Prix as the clear market leader at 43.5% implied probability, driven by his dominant championship form with eight wins and a substantial points cushion over Mercedes teammate George Russell. The Baku City Circuit's long straights, tight street sections, and history of safety car interventions and multiple winners create volatility that caps any single driver's odds and supports competitive pricing for Norris, Russell, Verstappen, Leclerc, and Hamilton in the 8.5–19.5% range. Recent reliability discussions around the Mercedes package and the Saturday race format add uncertainty, while the track's overtaking opportunities on the main straight keep underdogs viable despite Antonelli's strong recent results in Monza and Madrid.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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