The tightly bunched probabilities for Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole position reflect a wide-open qualifying battle at the Baku City Circuit, where the long straights, tight corners, and high-risk street layout reward precise one-lap pace over raw race pace. With Kimi Antonelli leading the drivers’ championship in the Mercedes and Lando Norris closing strongly after recent victories, traders see multiple contenders from Mercedes, McLaren, Ferrari, and Red Bull capable of claiming the top spot under the 2026 power-unit regulations. Historical trends favor drivers like Charles Leclerc on this track, yet the new aero and energy-management rules have produced unpredictable sessions so far, keeping implied probabilities clustered and underscoring how minor setup tweaks or traffic can shift outcomes dramatically.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоFernando Alonso 43%
Liam Lawson 41%
Carlos Sainz Jr. 41%
Nico Hulkenberg 40%
Fernando Alonso
43%
Liam Lawson
41%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
41%
Nico Hulkenberg
40%
Isack Hadjar
40%
Charles Leclerc
38%
Lance Stroll
38%
Yuki Tsunoda
38%
George Russell
38%
Alexander Albon
37%
Lando Norris
37%
Kimi Antonelli
37%
Max Verstappen
37%
Lewis Hamilton
37%
Oscar Piastri
37%
Pierre Gasly
37%
Gabriel Bortoleto
36%
Sergio Perez
36%
Esteban Ocon
36%
Franco Colapinto
36%
Valtteri Bottas
36%
Oliver Bearman
36%
Arvid Lindblad
36%
Fernando Alonso 43%
Liam Lawson 41%
Carlos Sainz Jr. 41%
Nico Hulkenberg 40%
Fernando Alonso
43%
Liam Lawson
41%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
41%
Nico Hulkenberg
40%
Isack Hadjar
40%
Charles Leclerc
38%
Lance Stroll
38%
Yuki Tsunoda
38%
George Russell
38%
Alexander Albon
37%
Lando Norris
37%
Kimi Antonelli
37%
Max Verstappen
37%
Lewis Hamilton
37%
Oscar Piastri
37%
Pierre Gasly
37%
Gabriel Bortoleto
36%
Sergio Perez
36%
Esteban Ocon
36%
Franco Colapinto
36%
Valtteri Bottas
36%
Oliver Bearman
36%
Arvid Lindblad
36%
If the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 2, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 2, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The tightly bunched probabilities for Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole position reflect a wide-open qualifying battle at the Baku City Circuit, where the long straights, tight corners, and high-risk street layout reward precise one-lap pace over raw race pace. With Kimi Antonelli leading the drivers’ championship in the Mercedes and Lando Norris closing strongly after recent victories, traders see multiple contenders from Mercedes, McLaren, Ferrari, and Red Bull capable of claiming the top spot under the 2026 power-unit regulations. Historical trends favor drivers like Charles Leclerc on this track, yet the new aero and energy-management rules have produced unpredictable sessions so far, keeping implied probabilities clustered and underscoring how minor setup tweaks or traffic can shift outcomes dramatically.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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