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Выборы·Выборы во Франции

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Выборы·Выборы во Франции

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

НОВОЕ
23 апр. 2027 г.
Polymarket

$9,820 Объем

Polymarket

Éric Zemmour

$87 Объем

42%

Jordan Bardella

$895 Объем

66%

Michel Barnier

$141 Объем

11%

Valérie Pécresse

$156 Объем

10%

Gabriel Attal

$549 Объем

93%

Élisabeth Borne

$81 Объем

33%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$104 Объем

28%

Jean Castex

$64 Объем

20%

Gérald Darmanin

$144 Объем

11%

Sébastien Lecornu

$75 Объем

49%

François Bayrou

$463 Объем

10%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$41 Объем

49%

Carole Delga

$148 Объем

17%

Olivier Faure

$50 Объем

48%

François Hollande

$132 Объем

61%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$81 Объем

49%

Manuel Bompard

$63 Объем

16%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$6,383 Объем

99%

Mathilde Panot

$84 Объем

8%

Dominique de Villepin

$14 Объем

55%

Marine Le Pen

$67 Объем

58%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As the 2027 French presidential election approaches, with Emmanuel Macron term-limited, multiple candidates have declared or positioned themselves for a run during 2026. Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s May 2026 confirmation of a fourth bid on TF1 has intensified left-wing competition, prompting discussions of a unitary primary among figures like Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, and ex-LFI members. On the center-right, Bruno Retailleau’s February declaration and calls for a single candidacy by 90 officials highlight ongoing debates over primaries involving Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, and Gérald Darmanin. These early announcements and coalition efforts reflect party pressures and polling trends that shape trader assessments of who will formally enter the race before year-end.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$9,820
Дата окончания
23 апр. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As the 2027 French presidential election approaches, with Emmanuel Macron term-limited, multiple candidates have declared or positioned themselves for a run during 2026. Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s May 2026 confirmation of a fourth bid on TF1 has intensified left-wing competition, prompting discussions of a unitary primary among figures like Olivier Faure, Marine Tondelier, and ex-LFI members. On the center-right, Bruno Retailleau’s February declaration and calls for a single candidacy by 90 officials highlight ongoing debates over primaries involving Gabriel Attal, Édouard Philippe, and Gérald Darmanin. These early announcements and coalition efforts reflect party pressures and polling trends that shape trader assessments of who will formally enter the race before year-end.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$9,820
Дата окончания
23 апр. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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«French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 21 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Jean-Luc Mélenchon» с 99%, за ним следует «Gabriel Attal» с 93%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 99¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 99%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 22, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?», просмотри 21 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?» — «Jean-Luc Mélenchon» с 99%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 99%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Gabriel Attal» с 93%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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