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French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Выборы·Выборы во Франции

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

$21,875 Объем

23 апр. 2027 г.
Polymarket

$21,875 Объем

Polymarket

Éric Zemmour

$238 Объем

73%

Jordan Bardella

$1,558 Объем

76%

Michel Barnier

$162 Объем

11%

Valérie Pécresse

$156 Объем

11%

Élisabeth Borne

$278 Объем

15%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$385 Объем

13%

Jean Castex

$64 Объем

29%

Gérald Darmanin

$171 Объем

35%

Sébastien Lecornu

$172 Объем

34%

François Bayrou

$486 Объем

11%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$51 Объем

32%

Carole Delga

$154 Объем

18%

Olivier Faure

$229 Объем

50%

François Hollande

$132 Объем

51%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$523 Объем

67%

Manuel Bompard

$397 Объем

6%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$6,393 Объем

99%

Mathilde Panot

$8,757 Объем

5%

Dominique de Villepin

$25 Объем

72%

Marine Le Pen

$147 Объем

22%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Several major political figures have already confirmed their candidacies for France's April 2027 presidential election during spring 2026, including Édouard Philippe, Gabriel Attal, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, and Bruno Retailleau, who secured Les Républicains' endorsement via an April party vote. Jordan Bardella of the National Rally remains the polling frontrunner. This record number of contenders stems from term limits barring Emmanuel Macron and fragmented party positioning ahead of the first-round vote. Additional declarations in May and early June, such as those by Bernard Cazeneuve and Karim Bouamrane, alongside withdrawals like Laurent Wauquiez, reflect ongoing coalition negotiations and signature-gathering requirements. Upcoming municipal and internal party dynamics through late 2026 could prompt further announcements before the campaign intensifies.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$21,875
Дата окончания
23 апр. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Several major political figures have already confirmed their candidacies for France's April 2027 presidential election during spring 2026, including Édouard Philippe, Gabriel Attal, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, and Bruno Retailleau, who secured Les Républicains' endorsement via an April party vote. Jordan Bardella of the National Rally remains the polling frontrunner. This record number of contenders stems from term limits barring Emmanuel Macron and fragmented party positioning ahead of the first-round vote. Additional declarations in May and early June, such as those by Bernard Cazeneuve and Karim Bouamrane, alongside withdrawals like Laurent Wauquiez, reflect ongoing coalition negotiations and signature-gathering requirements. Upcoming municipal and internal party dynamics through late 2026 could prompt further announcements before the campaign intensifies.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$21,875
Дата окончания
23 апр. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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