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French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Выборы·Выборы во Франции

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

$26,161 Объем

23 апр. 2027 г.
Polymarket

$26,161 Объем

Polymarket

Éric Zemmour

$258 Объем

62%

Jordan Bardella

$1,769 Объем

73%

Michel Barnier

$192 Объем

10%

Valérie Pécresse

$177 Объем

12%

Élisabeth Borne

$298 Объем

4%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$385 Объем

14%

Jean Castex

$64 Объем

18%

Gérald Darmanin

$171 Объем

14%

Sébastien Lecornu

$284 Объем

19%

François Bayrou

$505 Объем

1%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$67 Объем

11%

Carole Delga

$165 Объем

13%

Olivier Faure

$1,765 Объем

11%

François Hollande

$366 Объем

59%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$2,085 Объем

88%

Manuel Bompard

$397 Объем

6%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$6,450 Объем

97%

Mathilde Panot

$8,833 Объем

2%

Dominique de Villepin

$61 Объем

48%

Marine Le Pen

$473 Объем

21%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As of mid-2026, more than a dozen figures have formally declared presidential bids ahead of the April 2027 vote, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon announcing his fourth campaign in early May. Former prime ministers Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also entered the race, while Bruno Retailleau secured Les Républicains’ endorsement after an internal vote in April. Additional confirmed candidacies include Karim Bouamrane and several left-wing and far-right contenders, reflecting a fragmented field across major parties. Macron’s ineligibility due to term limits, ongoing coalition negotiations, and the need for 500 elected-official signatures continue to shape positioning, with further announcements and potential withdrawals expected before year-end.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$26,161
Дата окончания
23 апр. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As of mid-2026, more than a dozen figures have formally declared presidential bids ahead of the April 2027 vote, with Jean-Luc Mélenchon announcing his fourth campaign in early May. Former prime ministers Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also entered the race, while Bruno Retailleau secured Les Républicains’ endorsement after an internal vote in April. Additional confirmed candidacies include Karim Bouamrane and several left-wing and far-right contenders, reflecting a fragmented field across major parties. Macron’s ineligibility due to term limits, ongoing coalition negotiations, and the need for 500 elected-official signatures continue to shape positioning, with further announcements and potential withdrawals expected before year-end.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$26,161
Дата окончания
23 апр. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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«French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 21 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Gabriel Attal» с 100%, за ним следует «Jean-Luc Mélenchon» с 97%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $26.2K с момента запуска рынка Apr 22, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

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Текущий фаворит для «French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?» — «Gabriel Attal» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Jean-Luc Mélenchon» с 97%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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