Trader consensus around 38–40°C for Busan’s August 2 high reflects short-range forecast uncertainty, with ensemble models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global centers showing potential for above-normal temperatures driven by the strengthening North Pacific High. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity could amplify daytime peaks through urban heat effects, while minor shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover introduce variability that differentiates 37°C versus 41°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide baseline context, yet recent model runs have trended warmer. Updated KMA guidance and refined numerical forecasts over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift these closely matched implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Пусане 2 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Пусане 2 августа?
37°C 29%
38°C 26%
39°C 22%
36°C или ниже 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 авг. 2026 г.
36°C или ниже
15%
37°C
29%
38°C
26%
39°C
22%
40°C
11%
41°C
3%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C или выше
<1%
37°C 29%
38°C 26%
39°C 22%
36°C или ниже 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 авг. 2026 г.
36°C или ниже
$205 Объем
15%
37°C
$520 Объем
29%
38°C
$164 Объем
26%
39°C
$195 Объем
22%
40°C
$327 Объем
11%
41°C
$373 Объем
3%
42°C
$330 Объем
1%
43°C
$243 Объем
<1%
44°C
$117 Объем
<1%
45°C
$226 Объем
<1%
46°C или выше
$245 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 38–40°C for Busan’s August 2 high reflects short-range forecast uncertainty, with ensemble models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global centers showing potential for above-normal temperatures driven by the strengthening North Pacific High. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity could amplify daytime peaks through urban heat effects, while minor shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover introduce variability that differentiates 37°C versus 41°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide baseline context, yet recent model runs have trended warmer. Updated KMA guidance and refined numerical forecasts over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift these closely matched implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$2,946Дата окончания
2 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 38–40°C for Busan’s August 2 high reflects short-range forecast uncertainty, with ensemble models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global centers showing potential for above-normal temperatures driven by the strengthening North Pacific High. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity could amplify daytime peaks through urban heat effects, while minor shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover introduce variability that differentiates 37°C versus 41°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide baseline context, yet recent model runs have trended warmer. Updated KMA guidance and refined numerical forecasts over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift these closely matched implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,946Дата окончания
2 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 38–40°C for Busan’s August 2 high reflects short-range forecast uncertainty, with ensemble models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global centers showing potential for above-normal temperatures driven by the strengthening North Pacific High. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity could amplify daytime peaks through urban heat effects, while minor shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover introduce variability that differentiates 37°C versus 41°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide baseline context, yet recent model runs have trended warmer. Updated KMA guidance and refined numerical forecasts over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift these closely matched implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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